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| SOHO Pick of the Week |
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Active Region in Profile NEW May 30 - Jun. 05, 2009 We watched and waited as an active region, shown here in extreme UV light, rotated to the edge of the Sun as seen by STEREO Behind (May 18-19, 2009). Near the edge the coils of magnetic loops that rose above this active region were easily defined against the darker backdrop. The graceful arcs shift and change as the magnetic forces tug and pull at them. What one is actually seeing are particles spinning along the magnetic field lines and revealing the intense magnetism of active regions. |
| Solar, Earth Atmospheric and Climate Video of the Week |
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NASA's
Heliophysics Great Observatories Study the Sun and Geospace
NEW
Dec. 22- 29,
2008 Heliophysics is a term to describe the study of the Sun, its atmosphere or the heliosphere, and the planets within it as a system. As a result, it encompasses the study of planetary atmospheres and their magnetic environment, or magnetospheres. These environments are important in the study of space weather. |
| Solar, Earth Atmospheric and Climate Image of the Week |
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Solar Tsunamis NEW Nov. 17 - 24 2008 Sun to witness a 'solar tsunami' after a flare event. The tsunami moves hot gas (bright) out of the region, revealing cooler regions (darker) below. Close-up TRACE field-of-view as the wave moves across the image. |
| Latest Space Weather News |
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Engineers
move toward a better understanding of space weather conditions
that affect our lives
Feb. 11, 2009 For the past 15 years, engineers and scientists have gained a greater understanding of global warming, the effects of geomagnetic storms, the impact of the solar wind interacting on the magnetized region around the earth, and other dynamic processes that occur in the Earth's near-space environment. |
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Ulysses
Reveals Global Solar Wind Plasma Output at 50-Year Low
Sept. 23, 2008 Data from the Ulysses spacecraft, a joint NASA-European Space Agency mission, show the sun has reduced its output of solar wind to the lowest levels since accurate readings became available. The sun's current state could reduce the natural shielding that envelops our solar system. "The sun's million mile-per-hour solar wind inflates a protective bubble, or heliosphere, around the solar system. It influences how things work here on Earth and even out at the boundary of our solar system where it meets the galaxy," said Dave McComas, |
| Costello Geomagnetic Activity Index |
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The Costello Geomagnetic Activity Index model was developed by Kirt Costello at Rice University under support from the US Air Force and Sterling Software, Inc. It is a neural network algorithm that was trained on the response of the Kp geomagnetic activity index to solar wind parameters. The model takes the most recent two hours of solar wind data and returns a 3-hour activity index prediction in units of Kp. The valid time of the prediction is indicated on the output graphics by horizontal bars. SEC's test product based on this model is an estimate of the geomagnetic activity level, in Kp units, generated every 15 minutes. |
| Solar and Geophysical Activity Summary |
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Issued:
2009 May 31, 02:45 UTC
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar and Geophysical Activity Summary SGAS Number 151 Issued at 0245Z on 31 May 2009 This report is compiled from data received at SWO on 30 May A. Energetic Events Begin Max End Rgn Loc Xray Op 245MHz 10cm Sweep None B. Proton Events: None C. Geomagnetic Activity Summary: The geomagnetic field was quiet. D. Stratwarm: Not Available E. Daily Indices: (real-time preliminary/estimated values) 10 cm 069 SSN 000 Afr/Ap 002/003 X-ray Background LT A1.0 Daily Proton Fluence (flux accumulation over 24 hrs) GT 1 MeV 5.5e+05 GT 10 MeV 2.0e+04 p/(cm2-ster-day) (GOES-11 satellite synchronous orbit W135 degrees) Daily Electron Fluence GT 2 MeV 7.70e+04 e/(cm2-ster-day) (GOES-11 satellite synchronous orbit W135 degrees) 3 Hour K-indices: Boulder 2 2 1 0 0 1 1 1 Planetary 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 F. Comments: None |
| MDI Farside Image |
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The Earthside, or near-side, data are smoothed magnetic flux as measured by MDI. The images are shown to 70 degrees from disk center. Each magnetogram takes only one minute to observe. The farside images are maps of wave speed variations with locations of faster wave speed shown darker. These darker regions indicate locations where there is an accumulation of magnetic field on the far surface. The farside images can only be computed out to 45 degrees from the farside disk center as (un)seen from Earth. A full 24-hours of MDI surface velocity data is used to compute each image. |
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| Sunspots | MDI Continuum | MDI Magnetogram | LASCO C2 | LASCO C3 | EIT 171 | EIT 195 | EIT 284 | EIT 304 |
| SECCHI Beacon Images |
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| EUVI 195 Behind | COR1 Behind | COR2 Behind | HI1 Behind | EUVI 195 Ahead | COR1 Ahead | COR2 Ahead | HI1 Ahead |
| Summary Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity | Weekly Highlights and Forecasts |
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Issued:
2009 May 30, 22:30 UTC
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity SDF Number 150 Issued at 2200Z on 30 May 2009 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 29/2100Z to 30/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed during the past 24 hours. The visible disk remained spotless. A slow-moving CME from the west limb was observed on LASCO C2 imagery at 29/1530Z. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low. IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 29/2100Z to 30/2100Z: The geomagnetic field was quiet. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet for the next three days (31 May - 2 Jun). The CME observed on 29 May does not appear to be geoeffective. III. Event Probabilities 31 May-02 Jun Class M 01/01/01 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF Green IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 30 May 069 Predicted 31 May-02 Jun 070/070/070 90 Day Mean 30 May 069 V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 29 May 004/005 Estimated Afr/Ap 30 May 003/005 Predicted Afr/Ap 31 May-02 Jun 005/005-005/005-005/005 VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 31 May-02 Jun A. Middle Latitudes Active 05/05/05 Minor storm 01/01/01 Major-severe storm 01/01/01 B. High Latitudes Active 05/05/10 Minor storm 01/01/01 Major-severe storm 01/01/01 |
Issued:
2009 May 26, 18:21 UTC
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 18 - 24 May 2009 Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed. New-cycle polarity Region 1017 (N18, L=184, class/area Bxo/020 on 14 May) was numbered on 13 May. It was inactive and simply-structured during the period and rotated off the disk on 24 May as spotless plage. New-cycle polarity Region 1018 (S33, L= 046, class/area, Bxo/030 on 23 May) was numbered on 23 May. The region decayed as spotless plage on 24 May. The region was inactive during its short lifespan. No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at normal levels during the period. Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet levels at all latitudes during most of the period. However, activity briefly increased to active levels at high latitudes on 22 May. ACE observations indicated the active period (22/1500 - 22/1800 UTC) was due to solar wind changes associated with a period of sustained southward IMF Bz (minimum - 4 nT) and a modest increase in velocities (approximately 370 km/sec). Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 27 May - 22 June 2009 Solar activity is expected to be very low. No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is expected to be at normal flux levels. Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be at quiet levels through 02 June. Activity is expected to increase to mostly unsettled levels during 03 - 05 June with a chance for active levels at high latitudes on 04 June due to a recurrent coronal hole high-speed stream. Mostly quiet conditions are expected during 06 - 09 June. Activity is expected to increase to quiet to unsettled levels on 10 - 11 June due to a recurrent coronal hole wind stream. Mostly quiet conditions are expected during 12 -22 June. |
| Daily Ionospheric Forecast | |
| Low Latitude Forecast | Mid Latitude Forecast |
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Forecast
Issued 11:00 UT : 31 May 2009
PAST SUMMARY 11:00-11:00 UT, 30 May-31 May ========================================= HF SKYWAVE MUF VARIATIONS UT 11-17 17-23 23-05 05-11 MUFs 55-75 60-85 65-90 55-105 ICF 7 7 7 9 24 Hour ICF : 7 DAYTIME LUF : NORMAL POSSIBLE SHORTWAVE FADES : NONE A (29 May) : 7 (QUIET) SUNSPOT NUMBER INDEX (30 May) : 0 10 CM FLUX VALUE (30 May) : 69 FAIR HF RADIO CONDITIONS PREVAILED FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS. MUFS HAVE BEEN DEPRESSED SLIGHTLY. FORECAST 11:00-11:00 UT, 31 May-01 Jun ========================================= UT 11-17 17-23 23-05 05-11 MUFs DOWN DOWN DOWN NORMAL ICF 7 7 7 9 DAYTIME LUF : NORMAL SWF PROBABILITY : 2 PERCENT GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY : 30 May-01 Jun A = 3/1/1 (QUIET) 24 HOUR ICF: 8 POOR HF RADIO CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED UNTIL 05:00 WITH SLIGHT ENHANCEMENT LATER. THE MUFS ARE GENERALLY EXPECTED TO BE DEPRESSED. IF HF CONDITIONS ARE DEGRADED THEN TRY USING A LOWER FREQUENCY. ------------------Daily Ionospheric Forecasting Service (DIFS)------------------- BAE SYSTEMS Advanced Technology Systems, Gt Baddow, Chelmsford, Essex, UK, CM2 8HN | Tel: +44 1245 242143 A glossary is available here: http://www.sflorg.com/BAE_Systems_DIFS/glossary.html |
Forecast
Issued 11:00 UT : 31 May 2009
PAST SUMMARY 11:00-11:00 UT, 30 May-31 May ========================================= HF SKYWAVE MUF VARIATIONS UT 11-17 17-23 23-05 05-11 MUFs 75-105 80-100 70-90 70-105 ICF 9 9 8 8 24 Hour ICF : 9 DAYTIME LUF : NORMAL POSSIBLE SHORTWAVE FADES : NONE A (29 May) : 7 (QUIET) SUNSPOT NUMBER INDEX (30 May) : 0 10 CM FLUX VALUE (30 May) : 69 NORMAL HF RADIO CONDITIONS PREVAILED FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS. FORECAST 11:00-11:00 UT, 31 May-01 Jun ========================================= UT 11-17 17-23 23-05 05-11 MUFs NORMAL NORMAL DOWN DOWN ICF 9 9 8 8 DAYTIME LUF : NORMAL SWF PROBABILITY : 2 PERCENT GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY : 30 May-01 Jun A = 3/1/1 (QUIET) 24 HOUR ICF: 8 NORMAL HF RADIO CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FROM 11:00 TO 23:00 WITH SLIGHT DETERIORATION LATER. THE MUFS ARE GENERALLY EXPECTED TO BE DEPRESSED. IF HF CONDITIONS ARE DEGRADED THEN TRY USING A LOWER FREQUENCY. ------------------Daily Ionospheric Forecasting Service (DIFS)------------------- BAE SYSTEMS Advanced Technology Systems, Gt Baddow, Chelmsford, Essex, UK, CM2 8HN | Tel: +44 1245 242143 A glossary is available here: http://www.sflorg.com/BAE_Systems_DIFS/glossary.html |
| High Latitude Forecast | Daily Satcom Ionospheric Forecast |
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Forecast
Issued 11:00 UT : 31 May 2009
PAST
SUMMARY 11:00-11:00 UT, 30 May-31 May
=========================================
HF
SKYWAVE MUF VARIATIONS
UT
11-17 17-23 23-05 05-11
MUFs
85-100 90-105 80-120 70-135
ICF
10 10 10 11
24
Hour ICF : 10
DAYTIME
LUF : NORMAL
POSSIBLE
SHORTWAVE FADES : NONE
A
(29 May) : 7 (QUIET)
SUNSPOT
NUMBER INDEX (30 May) : 0
10
CM FLUX VALUE (30 May) : 69
NORMAL HF RADIO CONDITIONS PREVAILED FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS. FORECAST 11:00-11:00 UT, 31 May-01 Jun ========================================= UT 11-17 17-23 23-05 05-11 MUFs NORMAL NORMAL NORMAL NORMAL ICF 10 10 10 11 DAYTIME LUF : NORMAL SWF PROBABILITY : 2 PERCENT GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY : 30 May-01 Jun A = 3/1/1 (QUIET) 24 HOUR ICF: 10 NORMAL HF RADIO CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ------------------Daily Ionospheric Forecasting Service (DIFS)------------------- BAE SYSTEMS Advanced Technology Systems, Gt Baddow, Chelmsford, Essex, UK, CM2 8HN | Tel: +44 1245 242143 A glossary is available here: http://www.sflorg.com/BAE_Systems_DIFS/glossary.html |
Forecast
Issued 11:00 UT : 31 May 2009
FORECAST
FOR 12:00 UT : 31/05/2009
31 May 1 May LT 12-18 18-00 00-06 06-12 Polar Q D D Q Mid Q Q Q Q Equator Q D D Q Q - Quiet. Low probability of fading expected on SATCOM Circuits M - Moderate. Moderate fading possible on circuits D - Disturbed. Reasonably high fading probable on circuits S - Severe. High probability of outages K - 3 hourly values (29/5) : 1 2 1 2 2 3 2 2 (GEOALERT K) A Index (29/5) : 7 (SIDC GEOALERT A) Predicted A Index (30 May-01 Jun) : 3/1/1 ----------------Daily Ionospheric Forecasting Service (DIFS)----------------- BAE SYSTEMS Advanced Technology Systems, Gt Baddow, Chelmsford, Essex, UK, CM2 8HN | Tel: +44 1245 242143 |
| PCW Memorial Observatory Solar Observations by Erika Rix |
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Solar prominences in h-alpha, eastern limb NEW Feb. 24, 2009 Observation Date 2009 Feb 24, 1510UT – 1600UT The eastern hemisphere, especially east to the northeast, was scattered with prominences. As transparency improved, details of these little prominences came to light. The most obvious set was around 90° position angle and then a squat hedgerow one around 40°. I stopped my first sketch midway and began a fresh one with a larger limb span to include the majority of them, most which were faint and whispy or very tiny. |
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Solar prominences in h-alpha, eastern limb NEW Feb. 24, 2009 Observation Date 2009 Feb 23, 1519UT – 1555UT A fairly tall prominence stood out on the eastern limb that looked like a pair of hands loosely pressed together in prayer. Par for the course on these larger delicate features, they look almost detached until you concentrate on that area for a more in depth look. This is the prominence I concentrated on for the observation sketch. There was another smaller prom just north on the western limb close to a position angle of 290-300 degrees |
| PCW Memorial Observatory Archive |
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When we reached our destination, any momentary disappointment of being led into the gymnasium soon turned into a flutter of anticipation when we quietly followed her up on the stage and she then turned off all the lights after pulling the huge stage curtains shut. You could hear all my classmates inhale from surprise at the sudden darkness, myself included. It was soon followed by giggles when out of the darkness a flashlight clicked on and the only sight to be seen was my teacher’s smiling face. I remember her well. She was one of my favorites, very kind, and full of wonder. The next hour we all sat there cross legged, wide eyed in a circle around her as she explained to us about the our solar system. It seemed as if she had several floating hands rotating the model planets in midair around our sun, the flashlight. It was amazing and left a remarkable impact on me. |
Solar prominences in h-alpha, western limb Feb. 13, 2009 Prominence Feb. 03, 2009 Solar – featuring SE quadrant and NOAA 11003 Oct. 05, 2008 Solar H-alpha: 2008 05 04, 1035ST - 1145ST (1435UT – 1545UT) May 05, 2008 Solar H-alpha 2008 April 06 Apr. 06, 2008 Solar H-alpha and White Light: 2008 March 26 March 27, 2008 Solar H-alpha: March 23, 2008 March 24, 2008 Sun in h-alpha 2008/02/16 Feb. 16, 2008 Solar H-alpha 02/11/2008 Feb. 11, 2008 Solar H-alpha Jan. 25, 2008 Solar H-alpha Jan. 24, 2008 Open Cluster Observations Apr. 12, 2007 First Report from the PCW Memorial Observatory May 29, 2007 First Solar Report From PCW Memorial Observatory June 10, 2007 Word for the day: Opacity Aug. 27, 2007 Solar Observation / 112307 Nov. 23, 2007 Solar Observation / 112407 Nov. 24, 2007 Solar Observation / 113007 Dec. 01, 2007 Solar Observation / 2007-12-25 Dec. 25, 2007 |
| Space Weather News Archive |
| Special Notices |
| Goes 11 Status February 12, 2008 GOES 10 now the primary -- and only -- Satellite for X-ray Data February 12, 2008 -- GOES 11 X-ray data have been unavailable since Feb. 10. The expectation is that GOES 11 X-rays will remain unavailable. Other GOES 11 data are still available. GOES 10 is now the primary satellite for SWPC X-ray data. There are no secondary GOES X-ray data at this time. GOES 10 data resumed at 1630 UT on Feb 10 and will continue indefinitely. |
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