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Scientific Frontline Space Weather News Center
Page Bookmarks
Current Condition | SOHO Pick of the Week | Space Weather Video of the Week | Latest Space Weather News | Costello Geomagnetic Activity
Solar and Geophysical Activity Summary | MDI Farside Image | Current SOHO Images and Video's | SECCHI beacon images
Summary Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity | Weekly Highlights and Forecasts | PCW Memorial Observatory Solar Observations
PCW Memorial Observatory Archive | Space Weather News Archive | Special Notices
Related Pages, Images, Video's
Sunspots | MDI Continuum | MDI Magnetogram | LASCO C2 | LASCO C3 | EIT 171 | EIT 195 | EIT 284 | EIT 304
EUVI 195 Behind | COR1 Behind | COR2 Behind | HI1 Behind | EUVI 195 Ahead | COR1 Ahead | COR2 Ahead | HI1 Ahead
Solar Winds | Solar Flares | NOAA Space Weather Scales | Sunspot Numbers | Interplanetary Magnetic Field | Glossary of Solar-Terrestrial Terms
 
Current Condition, Warnings, Alerts, and Space Weather Information Feed
 
Space Weather information is updated in three hour intervals unless condition warrant. All images open into larger versions. Video's are of a 48 hours time lapse to current time with a three hour minus probability.
Information is compiled through the following agencies or sites.
NOAA / SEC / SOHO / GOES / ESA / NASA / ACE / SSC
The Information on the feed contains the latest Solar and Geophysical Activity from the NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center. Scientific Frontline Space Weather Forecast Center is the only RSS feed containing up to date notices. Click on the link in the Feed Ticker to be forwarded to current displayed information, or subscribe to the feed directly to your RSS reader
 
SOHO Pick of the Week
Solar Surface Wave
NEW
May 05, 2008
SOHO's EIT telescope observed a wave streak across part of the solar surface when a (moderate) flare erupted on April 26, 2008. As seen in the extreme UV wavelength of 195 Angstroms, in both the pair of stills and the video clip, a series of "post-flare" loops above replace the pre-existing active region structure when a faint wave erupts toward the upper left and a noticeable dimming occurs with its passage: coronal plasma, at temperatures of 1.5 million Kelvin, has been swept out of that part of the corona by the wave and coronal mass ejection.
 
Space Weather Video of the Week
The Magnetosphere
NEW
May 05 – May 12, 2008
The Earth is a huge magnet, and its magnetic influence extends far into space. In our everyday environment, magnetic forces are of no importance and a sensitive instrument, the compass needle, is needed to detect them. That is because we, the materials we encounter in everyday life, even the oxygen and nitrogen which we breathe, are all electrically neutral. The atoms of oxygen, for instance, contain electrons with negative electric charges and protons which are positive, but the two charges balance each other andthe electric and magnetic forces cancel. Magnetic forces have almost no effect on neutral atoms.
 
Latest Space Weather News
NASA Calls on APL to Send a Probe to the Sun
NEW
May 02, 2008
The Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory is sending a spacecraft closer to the sun than any probe has ever gone – and what it finds could revolutionize what we know about our star and the solar wind that influences everything in our solar system. NASA has tapped APL to develop the ambitious Solar Probe mission, which will study the streams of charged particles the sun hurls into space from a vantage point within the sun’s corona – its outer atmosphere
'Broken Heart' Image the Last for NASA’s Long-Lived Polar Mission

Apr. 28, 2008
As far as endings go, this one’s a real heart breaker. NASA’s Polar satellite concludes its successful mission at the end of April with a breathtaking visible-light image of the colorful dancing lights of the aurora. The Polar team has dubbed this final image "The Broken Heart." When the Polar satellite launched February 24, 1996, the plan was for a two-year science mission to study the lights that form a ring around Earth’s north and south magnetic poles, known as the Northern and Southern Lights, or auroras.
 
Costello Geomagnetic Activity Index

Larger Version
Credit: NOAA / SEC
This graphic shows the latest output over the past 24 hours in two panels. The top panel plots the magnitude of the predicted index in Kp units and the 3-hour interval over which the prediction is valid (solid bar for the latest and dotted for older predictions). Error bars are plotted on the most recent prediction to show the 50% confidence interval. The most recent observed estimates of the Kp index, as determined by the US Air Force, are overplotted in blue. The predictions are color coded according to the amount of solar wind data that was available for each model run, ranging from green (most data) to yellow (little data). The bottom panel plots the lead time of the prediction, which is the propagation time from L1 to the Earth. Note that the lead time points are plotted at the model run time whereas the corresponding prediction points in the top panel are plotted at the model valid time (run time + propagation time), which is usually 30-90 minutes into the future.

The Costello Geomagnetic Activity Index model was developed by Kirt Costello at Rice University under support from the US Air Force and Sterling Software, Inc. It is a neural network algorithm that was trained on the response of the Kp geomagnetic activity index to solar wind parameters. The model takes the most recent two hours of solar wind data and returns a 3-hour activity index prediction in units of Kp. The valid time of the prediction is indicated on the output graphics by horizontal bars. SEC's test product based on this model is an estimate of the geomagnetic activity level, in Kp units, generated every 15 minutes.

 
Solar and Geophysical Activity Summary
Planetary K IndexMagnetometerElectron FluxProton Flux
Each plot contains a HOT SPOT
to corresponding full size plot
Credit: NOAA

Issued: 2008 May 12, 02:48 UTC

Joint USAF/NOAA Solar and Geophysical Activity Summary
SGAS Number 133 Issued at 0245Z on 12 May 2008
This report is compiled from data received at SWO on 11 May
A. Energetic Events
Begin Max End Rgn Loc Xray Op 245MHz 10cm Sweep
None
B. Proton Events: None
C. Geomagnetic Activity Summary: The geomagnetic field was quiet.
D. Stratwarm: Not Available
E. Daily Indices: (real-time preliminary/estimated values)
10 cm 068 SSN 000 Afr/Ap 003/003 X-ray Background LT A1.0
Daily Proton Fluence (flux accumulation over 24 hrs)
GT 1 MeV 1.9e+06 GT 10 MeV 1.8e+04 p/(cm2-ster-day)
(GOES-11 satellite synchronous orbit W135 degrees)
Daily Electron Fluence
GT 2 MeV 1.00e+08 e/(cm2-ster-day)
(GOES-12 satellite synchronous orbit W74 degrees)
3 Hour K-indices:
Boulder 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Planetary 2 1 0 0 1 1 2 1
F. Comments: None
 
MDI Farside Image

Credit: Stanford University
These images are whole-Sun maps of magnetic activity. They show 360 degrees of longitude in the Carrington coordinate system normally used for solar observations. The map extent is from south pole to north pole in an equal area projection. The solar equator and each 60 degrees of longitude are marked.

The Earthside, or near-side, data are smoothed magnetic flux as measured by MDI. The images are shown to 70 degrees from disk center. Each magnetogram takes only one minute to observe.

The farside images are maps of wave speed variations with locations of faster wave speed shown darker. These darker regions indicate locations where there is an accumulation of magnetic field on the far surface. The farside images can only be computed out to 45 degrees from the farside disk center as (un)seen from Earth. A full 24-hours of MDI surface velocity data is used to compute each image.

 
Current SOHO Images and Video's
Sunspots
MDI
Continuum
MDI Magnetogram
LASCO
C2
LASCO
C3
EIT
171
EIT
195
EIT
284
EIT
304
 
SECCHI Beacon Images
 
EUVI 195
Behind
COR1
Behind
COR2
Behind
HI1
Behind
EUVI 195
Ahead
COR1
Ahead
COR2
Ahead
HI1
Ahead
 
Summary Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
Issued: 2008 May 11, 22:03 UTC

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 132 Issued at 2200Z on 11 May 2008
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 10/2100Z
to 11/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. The visible solar disk
remains spotless.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 10/2100Z to 11/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels. The greater than 2 MeV
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was high.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet on day 1 (12 May). Quiet to unsettled
conditions with isolated active periods are possible for days 2-3
(13-14 May). The increase in activity is expected due to a
recurrent coronal hole high speed stream.
III. Event Probabilities 12 May-14 May
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 11 May 068
Predicted 12 May-14 May 070/070/070
90 Day Mean 11 May 071
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 10 May 004/005
Estimated Afr/Ap 11 May 004/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 12 May-14 May 005/005-008/012-008/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 12 May-14 May
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/15/15
Minor storm 05/05/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/25/20
Minor storm 05/10/10
Major-severe storm 01/05/05
Issued: 2008 May 08, 05:53 UTC

Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity
28 April - 04 May 2008

Solar activity was very low. Region 993 (S29, L=086, class/area,
Bxo/010 on 04 May) formed on the visible solar disk on 04 May as a
small, simple bi-polar sunspot group. This region displayed a new
cycle magnetic configuration (positive polarity leader, negative
polarity trailer).

No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached
high levels during 28 April - 01 May.

The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels during 28
April until late in the UTC day on 30 April when activity levels
increased to unsettled to active conditions. Mostly unsettled to
active conditions persisted until early on 02 May as activity
decreased to quiet to unsettled levels, and remained so through the
end of the summary period. Solar wind speed measurements from the
ACE spacecraft began the period at approximately 500 km/s with the
IMF Bz ranging between +/-5 nT; speeds then slowly declined to
around 370 km/s by midday on 30 April. At approximately 30 April at
1500 UTC an increase was observed in solar wind data consistent with
a glancing blow from a coronal mass ejection (CME) observed on 26
April. For the next several days wind speed remained elevated with
a maximum of 525 km/s on 01 May at 0028 UTC and IMF Bz ranging
between +/- 8 nT. Midday on 03 May a coronal hole high speed stream
rotated into a geoeffective position elevating wind speeds to around
580 km/s. The period ended with wind speeds above 600 km/s.

Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity
07 May - 02 June 2008

Solar activity is expected to be very low.

No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is
expected to reach high levels during 07 - 08 May, 21 - 28 May, and
01 - 02 June.

Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be at quiet to unsettled
levels 07 - 12 May. On 13 May, a recurrent coronal hole high speed
stream is expected to increase activity levels to unsettled to
active conditions. Activity levels are expected to decline to quiet
to unsettled levels 14 - 18 May. Conditions should increase to
unsettled to active, with a chance for minor storm levels at middle
latitudes and major storm periods at high latitudes on 19 - 21 May,
due to a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream. On 22 May,
activity levels should abate to quiet to unsettled levels until 26
May. Recurrent high speed streams are expected to increase activity
again to unsettled to active levels for 27 May - 02 June.
 
PCW Memorial Observatory Solar Observations by Erika Rix
Solar H-alpha: 2008 05 04, 1035ST - 1145ST (1435UT – 1545UT)
NEW
May 05, 2008
New active region in the ESE quadrant was visible with two crescent shaped plage facing each other during the h-alpha observing session. In white light, seeing was very poor making it invisible at first glance. Eventually my eyes were able to see two dark specks in the AR, appearing to be only umbrae, with the more easterly one slightly darker and thicker.
Solar H-alpha 2008 April 06

Apr. 06, 2008
Equipment:
Internally double stacked Maxscope 60mm, LXD75, 40mm ProOptic Plossl, 21-7mm Zhumell
Sketch Media:
H-alpha - Black Strathmore Artagain paper, white Conte’ and Prang pencils, white vinyl eraser.
Added –25 brightness, +15 contrast after scanning in color at 300 dpi. Tilting Sun program used for digital Sun insert.
Solar H-alpha and White Light: 2008 March 26

March 27, 2008
It was said that today NOAA 10989 produced an M2-class eruption causing a CME. I have to say that each of the three active regions had very bright plage seeming to curve around the dark specks of sunspots within each region. It’s not often I get such a great view of the sunspots themselves in h-alpha, but today 10988 had the largest umbral area and they all had one or two smaller dark spots. I could hardly wait to pull out the ETX70 with a white light filter to see the sunspots themselves in much greater detail.
 
 
PCW Memorial Observatory Archive

Over thirty, ahem, something years ago, I can vividly recollect my grade school teacher gathering up a large box in her arms and asking the class to follow her. We were going on an excursion and I was filled with excitement. Anything to get me out of the classroom with our little wood desks and beat up textbooks was a fine idea by my standards. I was always more of a “hands on” person and thrived on adventure.

When we reached our destination, any momentary disappointment of being led into the gymnasium soon turned into a flutter of anticipation when we quietly followed her up on the stage and she then turned off all the lights after pulling the huge stage curtains shut. You could hear all my classmates inhale from surprise at the sudden darkness, myself included. It was soon followed by giggles when out of the darkness a flashlight clicked on and the only sight to be seen was my teacher’s smiling face. I remember her well. She was one of my favorites, very kind, and full of wonder.

The next hour we all sat there cross legged, wide eyed in a circle around her as she explained to us about the our solar system. It seemed as if she had several floating hands rotating the model planets in midair around our sun, the flashlight. It was amazing and left a remarkable impact on me.

Full Biography of Erika Rix

Solar H-alpha: March 23, 2008
March 24, 2008
Sun in h-alpha 2008/02/16
Feb. 16, 2008
Solar H-alpha 02/11/2008
Feb. 11, 2008
Solar H-alpha
Jan. 25, 2008
Solar H-alpha
Jan. 24, 2008
Open Cluster Observations
Apr. 12, 2007
First Report from the PCW Memorial Observatory
May 29, 2007
First Solar Report From PCW Memorial Observatory
June 10, 2007
Word for the day: Opacity
Aug. 27, 2007
Solar Observation / 112307
Nov. 23, 2007
Solar Observation / 112407
Nov. 24, 2007
Solar Observation / 113007
Dec. 01, 2007
Solar Observation / 2007-12-25
Dec. 25, 2007
 
Space Weather News Archive
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
First Images From Hinode Offer New Clues About Our Violent Sun
Dec. 22, 2006
Solar Sentinels
Sept. 01, 2006
 
Solar Telescope Reaches 120,000 Feet on Jumbo Jet-Sized Balloon
Oct. 24, 2007
Scientists Find Elusive Waves in Solar Corona
Aug. 30, 2007
Radio ’screams’ from the Sun warn of radiation storms
May 29, 2007
NASA Spacecraft Aids in Forecast of Solar Radiation Storms
May 25, 2007
Has SOHO ended a 30-year quest for solar ripples?
May 03, 2007
NASA Spacecraft Make First 3-D Images of Sun
Apr. 23, 2007
International Spacecraft Reveals Detailed Processes on the Sun
Mar. 21, 2007
THEMIS Weighs In On The Northern Lights
Mar. 14, 2007
International Heliophysical Year Begins
Feb. 19, 2007
NASA-European Spacecraft Swoops Under Sun's Pole
Feb. 07, 2007
Brightest Comet Ever Observed by SOHO
Jan. 16, 2007
SOHO prepares for comet McNaught
Jan. 11, 2007
SOHO Data Used For Real-Time Space Radiation Forecasting
Feb. 13, 2008
NASA'S SDO Mission to Improve Predictions of Violent Space Weather
Mar. 03, 2008
Old Solar Cycle Returns
Mar. 31, 2008
Hinode: source of the slow solar wind and superhot flares
Apr. 02, 2008

Solar Flares Set The Sun Quaking

Apr. 18, 2008

Design Begins on Twin Probes that Will Study the Radiation Belts

Apr. 18, 2008

 
 
 
Special Notices
Goes 11 Status
February 12, 2008
GOES 10 now the primary -- and only -- Satellite for X-ray Data
February 12, 2008 -- GOES 11 X-ray data have been unavailable since Feb. 10. The expectation is that GOES 11 X-rays will remain unavailable. Other GOES 11 data are still available.
GOES 10 is now the primary satellite for SWPC X-ray data. There are no secondary GOES X-ray data at this time. GOES 10 data resumed at 1630 UT on Feb 10 and will continue indefinitely.

 
 


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