. Scientific Frontline: Mangrove forests are short of breath

Wednesday, March 11, 2026

Mangrove forests are short of breath

The tidal water creates special ecosystems in the mangrove forests. These ecosystems are under threat when ocean water is getting warmer.
Photo Credit: Gloria Reithmaier

Scientific Frontline: Extended "At a Glance" Summary
: Climate-Driven Mangrove Hypoxia

The Core Concept: Mangrove ecosystems are increasingly experiencing severe "hypercapnic hypoxia"—a dangerous environmental condition characterized by low oxygen and high carbon dioxide—driven by rising global ocean temperatures. This escalating stress threatens the viability of these coastal habitats as vital nurseries and refuges for marine life.

Key Distinction/Mechanism: While mangrove waters naturally experience tidal fluctuations in oxygen and carbon dioxide, climate change is profoundly intensifying the extreme phases of these cycles. Unlike typical, brief low-tide conditions, warming oceans and rising baseline carbon dioxide levels are prolonging the periods of hypercapnic hypoxia, thereby drastically reducing the window of time sensitive marine species can safely enter the mangroves to feed or shelter.

Major Frameworks/Components:

  • Global Biogeochemical Tracking: The concurrent measurement of dissolved oxygen and carbon dioxide concentrations across 23 diverse mangrove environments to establish global patterns of environmental stress.
  • Climate Projection Modeling: The application of varying future climate scenarios to predict the severity, frequency, and duration of hypoxic and hypercapnic conditions in a warming ocean.
  • Equatorial Vulnerability Analysis: The identification of a latitudinal gradient in resilience, revealing that tropical systems closer to the equator (such as those in the Amazon and India) are already operating near their absolute ecological limits.

Branch of Science: Marine Chemistry, Marine Ecology, Climatology, and Environmental Science.

Future Application: The data and models generated from this research can be utilized to inform targeted coastal conservation policies, refine predictive ecological climate models, and develop adaptive fishery management strategies specifically tailored to vulnerable tropical developing nations.

Why It Matters: Mangrove forests are foundational to global marine biodiversity and serve as essential nurseries for numerous commercially important fish species. As compounded environmental stress slowly eliminates sensitive species and erodes biodiversity, the degradation of these ecosystems poses a severe, direct threat to the food security and economic stability of coastal communities highly dependent on tropical fisheries.

The tidal environment of mangrove forests serves as nurseries for many fish species. Researchers at the University of Gothenburg have measured carbon dioxide and oxygen levels in 23 of world’s mangrove areas. The study sends out a warning that these ecosystems are increasingly threatened as sea temperatures continue to rise.

Mangrove waters change constantly with the tides. At low tide, oxygen levels drop while carbon dioxide builds up, making it harder for fish and other marine species to breathe. Only species adapted to mangroves can tolerate these conditions. When the tide rises, fresh seawater brings more oxygen and lowers carbon dioxide levels. These periods allow more sensitive species, including commercially important fish, to enter the mangroves to feed or seek shelter. 

Extreme conditions

To understand how often these tidal changes create stressful conditions for marine life, researchers at the University of Gothenburg measured oxygen and carbon dioxide levels in 23 mangrove areas. For the first time, oxygen and carbon dioxide were measured together across mangroves worldwide, revealing global patterns in environmental stress.

“I was surprised to see that many mangrove systems already experience very extreme conditions,” says Gloria Reithmaier, marine chemist at the University of Gothenburg and lead author of the study. “Especially in warm tropical regions, there are long periods when oxygen is low and carbon dioxide high, leaving little time for sensitive fish to enter the mangroves.” 

Global warming is raising the temperature of the world's oceans. Using different climate projections, the researchers explored how mangrove waters may change in a warming ocean with rising carbon dioxide levels. Across all scenarios, stressful conditions became more severe and lasted longer, reducing the time fish and other marine species can use mangroves as refuge. In some cases, conditions may reach levels where many fish would simply struggle to breathe.

Highly diverse habitats

“In the Amazon and India, carbon dioxide levels are already very high. Compared to mangroves further from the equator, tropical systems already operate close to their limits,” says Gloria Reithmaier. “These highly diverse habitats may be the first to lose sensitive species as ocean temperatures rise and carbon dioxide levels increase.” 

Increasing environmental stress may gradually reduce biodiversity in mangrove ecosystems, favouring only the most tolerant species. These impacts are expected to hit tropical developing countries the hardest, where fisheries and coastal livelihoods rely heavily on mangroves.

“It is likely that the fish people are most interested in are the ones that are hardest hit,” says Gloria Reithmaier.

Published in journal: Geophysical Research Letters

TitleClimate Change Will Enhance Hypercapnic Hypoxia Threatening Mangrove Habitats

Authors: Gloria M. S. Reithmaier, Ariel K. Pezner, Adam Ulfsbo, Frank Melzner, and Isaac R. Santos

Source/CreditUniversity of Gothenburg

Reference Number: eco031126_01

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