. Scientific Frontline: Artificial intelligence and drones to select the most resilient wheat

Friday, April 10, 2026

Artificial intelligence and drones to select the most resilient wheat

Photo Credit: Beth Macdonald

Scientific Frontline: "At a Glance" Summary
: Durum Wheat Resilience and Climate Adaptation

  • Main Discovery: The most optimal durum wheat varieties for balancing high productivity and environmental stability are those exhibiting vigorous initial growth and early maturation, contradicting the traditional assumption that prolonged leaf greenness at the end of a season ensures better crop outcomes.
  • Methodology: Researchers analyzed 64 durum wheat varieties cultivated under both irrigated and rain-fed Mediterranean conditions. The team deployed ground sensors and drones equipped with RGB, multispectral, and thermal cameras to continuously monitor crop development. The gathered phenotypic data was then utilized to train artificial intelligence models capable of accurately predicting both crop yield and production stability.
  • Key Data: The phenotypic analysis assessed exactly 64 distinct durum wheat genotypes across two separate water-availability environments. The AI models successfully correlated early maturation and high initial vigor with consistent grain production, establishing that these traits systematically outperform longer-cycle, late-greenness traits under variable thermal and hydrological stress.
  • Significance: This research catalyzes a critical paradigm shift in agricultural science by prioritizing the stability of harvests across fluctuating weather parameters over absolute yield alone. It provides a proven biological mechanism to mitigate the impacts of drought and high temperatures on global food supplies.
  • Future Application: The integration of drone-based multi-sensor phenotyping and AI predictive modeling will be deployed in advanced plant breeding programs to rapidly screen and develop climate-resilient crop varieties. This remote-sensing strategy eliminates the immediate need for physical harvest testing, drastically reducing the time and financial costs associated with agricultural analysis.
  • Branch of Science: Agronomy, Plant Phenomics, Botany, Artificial Intelligence, Agricultural Engineering
  • Additional Detail: The multi-institutional research, led by the University of Barcelona and Agrotecnio, successfully isolates precise compensatory mechanisms in wheat biology, confirming that a shorter overall growth cycle enables the plant to optimize available resources for grain production under environmental stress.

The study, published in the journal Plant Phenomics, suggests a shift in perspective: it is necessary to focus not only on yield, but also on wheat’s ability to maintain consistent harvests despite changing weather conditions. The findings indicate that this combination of productivity and stability is key to ensuring safe harvests under variable environmental conditions. 

The authors of the study are researchers Jara Jauregui, José Luis Araus and Shawn Carlisle Kefauver, from the Department of Evolutionary Biology, Ecology and Environmental Sciences at the UB’s Faculty of Biology and Agrotecnio; Nieves Aparicio and Sara Álvarez, from the Agro-technological Institute of Castilla y León (ITACyL), and María Teresa Nieto, from the National Institute for Agricultural and Food Research and Technology (INIA-CSIC). 

Drones for monitoring wheat crops 

The team analyzed 64 varieties of durum wheat grown under two different Mediterranean conditions: irrigated and rain-fed. The aim was to identify which genotypes combine high yields with a stable performance across variable environments, with differences in temperature and water availability. 

One of the most surprising findings is that the selected varieties are not those that retain their green leaves the longest until the end of the season, but rather those that grow vigorously at the start and mature slightly earlier. 

In contrast, the rejected lines showed low initial vigor and retained their green leaves for longer, which does not guarantee a better yield. 

As part of the project, the team used ground-sensors and drones equipped with RGB, multispectral and thermal cameras, enabling them to monitor crop development throughout the entire growing cycle. This technology provides key information about the wheat before harvesting, eliminating the need for harvesting and reducing both the costs and the time required for analysis. 

Using all this data, the team trained artificial intelligence models capable of predicting both the yield and the stability of production for different varieties with a high degree of accuracy. 

This strategy could be a very useful tool for plant breeding programs and could help develop wheat varieties that are equipped to meet the challenges of climate change. 

Greener doesn’t always mean better 

The researchers first analyzed, separately, the yield and stability traits of durum wheat. They found that the genotypes with the highest yields are characterized by high initial vigor and sustained greenness during the rapid growth phases up to the end of the growing season. In contrast, the most stable genotypes exhibit lower initial vigor, slower growth, and a shorter cycle, enabling them to make better use of the resources available for grain production. To identify a balance between these compensatory mechanisms, the experts developed a variety selection method that combines competitive yield with good stability. 

The study concludes that vigorous early growth combined with early maturation is a key factor to achieving more consistent yields under variable environmental conditions, helping wheat cope better with drought and high temperatures. 

Published in journal: Plant Phenomics

TitleMulti-sensor phenotyping of yield and yield stability for genotype selection in durum wheat

Authors: Jara Jauregui-Besó, Nieves Aparicio, Sara Álvarez, María Teresa Nieto-Taladriz, José Luis Araus, and Shawn Carlisle Kefauver

Source/CreditUniversity of Barcelona

Reference Number: agra041026_01

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