. Scientific Frontline: Space Weather

Space Weather


Warnings and Alerts
Issue Time: 2026 Apr 18 0752 UTC

WARNING: Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Valid From: 2026 Apr 18 0751 UTC
Valid To: 2026 Apr 18 1500 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.
Space Weather Scales
Current Condition and Alerts
Issued: 2026 Apr 18 1205 UTC
Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center

Geophysical Alert Message

Solar-terrestrial indices for 17 April follow.
Solar flux 107 and estimated planetary A-index 4.
The estimated planetary K-index at 1200 UTC on 18 April was 5.00.

Space weather for the past 24 hours has been moderate.
Geomagnetic storms reaching the G2 level occurred.

Space weather for the next 24 hours is predicted to be moderate.
Geomagnetic storms reaching the G2 level are expected.
Space Weather Scales
Forecast Discussion
Issued: 2026 Apr 18 1230 UTC
Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center

Solar Activity

.24 hr Summary...
Solar activity was at low levels. Region 4416 (N22W85, Cso/beta)
produced the largest event of the period, a C1.6 flare at 18/0704 UTC,
as it rotated around the western limb. Region 4419 (N13E8,
Eki/beta-gamma) displayed slight decay and consolidation in its trailing
spots, with the leader spots separating yet decaying as well. Region
4415 (S18W68, Hsx/alpha) remained unchanged and was unremarkable.

From around 18/0730-0823 UTC, an approximately 30 degree long eruptive
filament was observed in GONG H-alpha and GOES-19 SUVI imagery lifting
off the solar disk. The associated CME will be modeled when coronagraph
imagery becomes available.

No other Earth directed CMEs were observed in coronagraph imagery.

.Forecast...
Solar activity is expected to be low with a chance for M-class (R1-R2,
Minor-Moderate) flares on 18-20 Apr, primarily due to the flare
potential of Region 4419.

Energetic Particle

.24 hr Summary...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached
high levels with a peak of 2,441 pfu observed at 17/1650 UTC. The
greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at background levels.

.Forecast...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to briefly drop to
normal to moderate levels on 18 Apr with the arrival of a negative
polarity CH HSS. Flux levels are expected to increase back to high
levels on 19-20 Apr. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux is expected to
continue at background levels on 18-20 Apr.

Solar Wind

.24 hr Summary...
Solar wind parameters were at nominal levels the first half of the
reporting period. At around 17/2300 UTC, enhancements were noted as the
anticipated CH HSS moved into a geoeffective position. Total field
increased to a peak of 17 nT, while the Bz component was mostly
negative, seeing a maximum southward deflection to -14 nT. Solar wind
speeds varied between approximately 280-360 km/s before gradually
increasing to a maximum velocity of ~540 km/s. Phi rotated into a
negative orientation just after 18/2300 UTC.

.Forecast...
Solar wind parameters are expected to remain enhanced on 18 Apr as
negative polarity CH HSS influence persists. Solar wind speeds ranging
from 600-700 km/s are likely based on recurrent values. Enhanced
conditions are expected to continue through 20 Apr.

Geospace

.24 hr Summary...
The geomagnetic field reached G1 (Minor) levels before increasing to G2
(Moderate) levels after 18/0825 UTC.

.Forecast...
G1-G2 (Minor-Moderate) geomagnetic storming levels are expected on 18
Apr as negative polarity CH HSS geomagnetic conditions persist. Active
to G1 (Minor) levels are expected to continue through 19 Apr, followed
by unsettled to active conditions on 20 Apr, as HSS effects linger.
Space Weather Scales
Three Day Forecast
Issued: 2026 Apr 18 1230 UTC
Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center

A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 6 (NOAA Scale
G2).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Apr 18-Apr 20 2026 is 6.00 (NOAA Scale
G2).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Apr 18-Apr 20 2026

Apr 18 Apr 19 Apr 20
00-03UT 3.33 5.00 (G1) 3.67
03-06UT 5.00 (G1) 4.67 (G1) 3.67
06-09UT 5.67 (G2) 4.00 3.33
09-12UT 5.00 (G1) 3.33 3.33
12-15UT 5.00 (G1) 3.67 3.33
15-18UT 4.33 3.00 2.00
18-21UT 4.00 3.00 3.33
21-00UT 6.00 (G2) 3.33 3.33

Rationale: G1-G2 (Minor-Moderate) geomagnetic storming levels are
expected on 18 Apr as negative polarity CH HSS geomagnetic conditions
persist. Active to G1 (Minor) levels are expected to continue through 19
Apr, followed by unsettled to active conditions on 20 Apr, as HSS
effects linger.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Apr 18-Apr 20 2026

Apr 18 Apr 19 Apr 20
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Apr 18-Apr 20 2026

Apr 18 Apr 19 Apr 20
R1-R2 25% 25% 25%
R3 or greater 5% 5% 5%

Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) flares on 18-20
Apr, primarily due to the flare potential of Region 4419.#sued: 2026 Apr 18 1230 UTC
Space Weather Scales
Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
Issued: 2026 Apr 13 0104 UTC
Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center

Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity
06 - 12 April 2026

Solar activity was at very low to moderate levels during the period.
Moderate levels were reached on 09 Apr, with low levels observed on
06-08 Apr and 11-12 Apr. Very low levels occurred on 10 Apr.

Region 4409 (N02, L=158, class/area=Eai/190 on 07 Apr) was the most
active region of the period, producing 11 C-class flares and the
only M-class flare of the period, an impulsive M1.0/Sf at 09/0845
UTC. Region 4417 (S08, L=123, class/area=Dao/30 on 12 Apr) also
contributed notable activity with 7 C-class flares after appearing
quickly on 11 Apr near the West limb. Other activity included a
C8.7/Sf flare from Region 4414 (N15, L=26, class/area Dro/30 on 08
Apr) at 08/1543 UTC, which was associated with Type III radio
emissions and a weak CME without any Earth-directed components.

No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at
high levels throughout the reporting period. Flux levels reached a
peak value of 10,679 pfu at 09/1605 UTC.

Geomagnetic field activity ranged from quiet to active levels during
the period. The beginning of the period (06-07 Apr) saw quiet to
unsettled conditions as the influence of a negative polarity coronal
hole high speed stream (-CH HSS) continued to wane. From 10-12 Apr,
quiet to active levels were observerd under the onset and influence
of a positive polarity CH HSS (+CH HSS). Quiet conditions prevailed
during all other days of the period under a nominal solar wind
regime.

Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity
13 April - 09 May 2026

Solar activity is expected to be at low levels, with a varying
chance for M-class (R1-R2/Minor-Moderate) flares and a slight chance
for X-class (R3/Strong or greater) flares through 09 May.

No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit, barring any
significant, non-recurrent solar activity.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is
expected to reach high levels on 13-17 Apr, 19-24 Apr, 26-28 Apr, 30
Apr-05 May, and 08-09 May. Normal to moderate flux levels are
expected on 18 Apr, 25 Apr, 29 Apr, and 06-07 May.

Geomagnetic field activity is anticipated to reach G1-G2
(Minor-Moderate) storm levels on 19 Apr and 29 Apr due to -CH HSS
influences, and on 07 May due to +CH HSS influences. Active
conditions are expected on 18 Apr, 20 Apr, and 30 Apr-01 May in
response to -CH HSS effects, and on 15 Apr, 25 Apr, and 08 May due
to +CH HSS effects. Mostly quiet to unsettled conditions are
expected for all other days of the period.


Space Weather Scales
About AIA Images
The Atmospheric Imaging Assembly (AIA) on the Solar Dynamics Observatory (SDO) is designed to provide an unprecedented view of the solar corona, taking images that span at least 1.3 solar diameters in multiple wavelengths nearly simultaneously, at a resolution of ~ 1 arcsec and at a cadence of 10 s or better. The primary goal of the AIA Science Investigation is to use these data, together with data from other SDO instruments and from other observatories, to significantly improve our understanding of the physics behind the activity displayed by the Sun's atmosphere, which drives space weather in the heliosphere and in planetary environments. The AIA will produce data required for quantitative studies of the evolving coronal magnetic field, and the plasma that it holds, both in quiescent phases and during flares and eruptions; the AIA science investigation aims to utilize these data in a comprehensive research program to provide new understanding of the observed processes
Left Click Image for screen size, Right Click Image and open in new tab for full size.
Daily Image AIA 171
Channel | Region of atmosphere | Primary ion(s)
171Ã… | quiet corona, upper transition region | Fe IX
Daily Image AIA 171 PFSS Model
Channel | Region of atmosphere | Primary ion(s)
171Ã… | quiet corona, upper transition region | Fe IX
Daily Image AIA 193
Channel | Region of atmosphere | Primary ion(s)
193Ã… | corona and hot flare plasma | Fe XII, XXIV
Daily Image AIA 304
Channel | Region of atmosphere | Primary ion(s)
304Ã… | chromosphere, transition region | He II
Daily Video AIA 171
Daily Video AIA 171 PFSS Model
Daily Video AIA 193
Daily Video AIA 304
About the HMI Images
(Helioseismic and Magnetic Imager)
HMI is an instrument designed to study oscillations and the magnetic field at the solar surface, or photosphere. HMI is one of three instruments on the Solar Dynamics Observatory; together, the suite of instruments observes the Sun nearly continuously and takes a terabyte of data a day. HMI observes the full solar disk at 6173 Ã… with a resolution of 1 arcsecond. HMI is a successor to the Michelson Doppler Imager on the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory. This is very much how the Sun looks like in the visible range of the spectrum (for example, looking at it using special 'eclipse' glasses: Remember, do not ever look directly at the Sun!). The magnetogram image shows the magnetic field in the solar photosphere, with black and white indicating opposite polarities.
Left Click Image for screen size, Right Click Image and open in new tab for full size.
Daily Image HMI Continuum
Daily Image HMI Magnetogram
Daily Video HMI Continuum
Daily Video HMI Magnetogram
About LASCO Images
LASCO (Large Angle Spectrometric Coronagraph) is able to take images of the solar corona by blocking the light coming directly from the Sun with an occulter disk, creating an artificial eclipse within the instrument itself. The position of the solar disk is indicated in the images by the white circle. The most prominent feature of the corona are usually the coronal streamers, those nearly radial bands that can be seen both in C2 and C3. Occasionally, a coronal mass ejection can be seen being expelled away from the Sun and crossing the fields of view of both coronagraphs. The shadow crossing from the lower left corner to the center of the image is the support for the occulter disk.
C2 images show the inner solar corona up to 8.4 million kilometers (5.25 million miles) away from the Sun.
C3 images have a larger field of view: They encompass 32 diameters of the Sun. To put this in perspective, the diameter of the images is 45 million kilometers (about 30 million miles) at the distance of the Sun, or half of the diameter of the orbit of Mercury. Many bright stars can be seen behind the Sun.
Left Click Image for screen size, Right Click Image and open in new tab for full size.
Combined C2 C3 and AIA 304
Log Polar View C2 C3 and AIA 304
Combined C2 C3 and AIA 304 Video
Log Polar View C2 C3 and AIA 304 Video
Space Weather Videos
Space Weather Information

Demystifying Space Weather

An article by Scientific Frontline
Informative information and glossary about “Space Weather”

Space weather has become increasingly important in our modern world due to our growing reliance on technology. It can impact various aspects of our daily lives, from communication and navigation systems to power grids and even astronaut safety. In this deep dive, we'll explore the intricacies of space weather, its causes, its effects, and why understanding it is crucial in our technology-dependent society.



Privacy Policy | Terms of Service | Contact Us

Featured Article

What Is: Quorum Sensing

Scientific Frontline: Extended "At a Glance" Summary : Quorum Sensing The Core Concept : Quorum sensing is a sophisticated, popula...

Top Viewed Articles