. Scientific Frontline: Space Weather

Space Weather


Warnings and Alerts
Space Weather Message Code: ALTTP2
Serial Number: 1501
Issue Time: 2026 Jun 09 1629 UTC

ALERT: Type II Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2026 Jun 09 1557 UTC
Estimate Velocity: 917 km/s
Comment: SVI: 482 km/s; SAG: 917 km/s (closer station to the subsolar point. Report came later)
Space Weather Scales
Current Condition and Alerts
Issued: 2026 Jun 09 1510 UTC
Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center

Geophysical Alert Message

Solar-terrestrial indices for 08 June follow.
Solar flux 131 and estimated planetary A-index 8.
The estimated planetary K-index at 1500 UTC on 09 June was 2.67.

No space weather storms were observed for the past 24 hours.

Space weather for the next 24 hours is predicted to be moderate.
Radio blackouts reaching the R2 level are likely.
Space Weather Scales
Forecast Discussion
Issued: 2026 Jun 09 1230 UTC
Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center

Solar Activity

.24 hr Summary...
Solar activity remained at low levels with numerous C-class flares
observed from Regions 4456 (N18W67, Esi/beta), 4464 (S12E17, Dsi/beta)
and 4465(N09E63, Dsi/beta-gamma). Most of the activity originated from
Region 4465 with the largest a C4.5/Sf observed at 09/0423 UTC. There
are seven active regions on disk, most of them remained stable or showed
some decay in area. Region 4464 indicated some minor enhancements among
its intermediate spots. Departed Region 4455 (N15, L=092) also produced
some weak C-class activity.

No new Earth-directed CMEs were observed in available coronagraph
imagery.

.Forecast...
Isolated M-class flares are likely, with a slight chance for X-class
flares, through 11 June primarily due to the flare potential exhibited
by Regions 4456, 4462 (N16W14, Dsi/beta), 4464 and 4465.

Energetic Particle

.24 hr Summary...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached
high levels with a peak flux of 1,310 pfu at 08/1340 UTC. The greater
than 10 MeV proton flux remained at background levels during the period.

.Forecast...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux levels at geosynchronous orbit are
likely to continue reaching high levels through 10 June, returning to
moderate-low levels on 11 June. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux is
expected to remain at background levels through 11 June.

Solar Wind

.24 hr Summary...
Solar wind parameters suggested a slow decline in the wind environment.
Solar wind speeds decreased from about 450 km/s to near 400 km/s, while
the total Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF) strength showed a slight
oscillation around 5nT. At about 09/0954 UTC, The IMF increased sharply
to 10 nT. The Bz component oscillated between -5 nT to +3 nT, and
further reached S to -5 nT. The Phi angle remained mostly in the
positive sector during the day.

.Forecast...
Analysis of the solar wind parameters, along with the suprathermal ions
and electrons data from instruments at L1, suggested that the 06 June
CME glancing passage near Earth already occurred on 08 June, reducing
our confidence in further impacts on the next days. Therefore,
background solar wind is expected until 11 June, when a -CH HSS is
anticipated to become geoeffective.

Geospace

.24 hr Summary...
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet levels during the past 24 hrs.

.Forecast...
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to active levels on 09
June, quiet to unsettled levels on 10 Jun, and active levels on 11 June
(due to anticipated -CH HSS effects).
Space Weather Scales
Three Day Forecast
Issued: 2026 Jun 09 1230 UTC
Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center

A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 2 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jun 09-Jun 11 2026 is 4.00 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Jun 09-Jun 11 2026

Jun 09 Jun 10 Jun 11
00-03UT 2.00 3.00 2.00
03-06UT 2.33 3.33 2.00
06-09UT 1.67 2.33 3.00
09-12UT 2.00 2.00 2.67
12-15UT 2.33 2.00 3.00
15-18UT 2.00 2.00 3.33
18-21UT 2.33 2.33 3.00
21-00UT 2.33 2.33 4.00

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No
significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jun 09-Jun 11 2026

Jun 09 Jun 10 Jun 11
S1 or greater 10% 10% 10%

Rationale: A slight chance of solar radiation storms are expected
through 11 Jun.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Jun 09-Jun 11 2026

Jun 09 Jun 10 Jun 11
R1-R2 55% 55% 55%
R3 or greater 10% 10% 10%

Rationale: Isolated R1/R2 (Minor/Moderate) radio blackouts are likely,
with a slight chance for isolated R3 (Strong) events through 11 June,
primarily due to the flare potential exhibited by Regions 4456 (N17W61,
Dai/beta), 4462 (N15W07, Dsi/beta), 4464 and 4465.
Space Weather Scales
Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
Issued: 2026 Jun 08 0243 UTC
Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center

Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity
01 - 07 June 2026

Solar activity reached high levels on 03 Jun when Region 4455 (N14,
L=88, class/area=Dki/360 on 03 Jun) produced an M9.3/Sf flare
(accompanied by Type-II (253 km/s) and Type-IV sweeps, and a 360 sfu
Tenflare) at 03/0136 UTC, followed by an M7.7/1b flare (accompanied
by Type-II (313 km/s) and Type-IV radio sweeps, and a 540 sfu
Tenflare with Castelli-U signature) at 03/0700 UTC, and finally an
X1.0/1n flare (accompanied by a Type-IV sweep and a 180 sfu
Tenflare) at 03/1128 UTC. The CMEs associated with the three
significant flares from AR4455 on 03 Jun arrived at Earth on 05 Jun.
Other activity included an M1.8/2n (accompanied by Type-II (838
km/s) and 190 sfu Tenflare) flare at 06/1401 UTC from Region 4461
(S20, L=09, class/area=Dao/70 on 02 Jun). The resulting partial-halo
CME, first visible in LASCO C2 imagery at 06/1401 UTC, is
anticipated to arrive at Earth around midday on 08 Jun.

The greater than 10 MeV proton flux became slightly enhanced after
midday on 06 Jun following the M1.8/2n flare at 06/1401 UTC from
Region 4461, but remained below event levels with a peak flux of 1.0
pfu observed at 06/1940 UTC. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux
gradually returned to background levels on 07 Jun.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at
normal to moderate levels on 01-05 Jun, with high levels observed on
06-07 Jun.

Geomagnetic field activity reached G1-G2 (Minor-Moderate) storm
levels on 05 Jun, and active levels on 06 Jun, following the arrival
and passage of the CMEs from 03 Jun. The shock arrival was observed
beginning at around 05/0425 UTC, and in the hours following the
total magnetic field strength (Bt) reached 20 nT, the Bz component
reached as far southward as -17 nT, and solar wind speeds increased
to a peak near 740 km/s. Quiet and quiet to unsettled levels under
weak coronal hole high speed stream influences prevailed throughout
the remainder of the period.

Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity
08 June - 04 July 2026

Solar activity is expected to be at predominately low levels through
04 Jul, with M-class flare probabilities ranging from a chance to
likely levels throughout the period.

No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit, barring
significant flare activity.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is
expected to reach high levels on 09-10, 13-18 Jun and 04 Jul. Normal
to moderate levels are expected to prevail throughout the remainder
of the period.

Geomagnetic field activity is likely to reach G1-G3 (Minor-Strong)
storm levels on 08 Jun, with G1-G2 (Minor-Moderate) levels likely on
09 Jun, due to the anticipated arrival of the CME that left the Sun
on 06 Jun. Periods of active conditions are likely on 23-26 Jun due
to recurrent CH HSS influences. Quiet and quiet to unsettled levels
are expected to prevail throughout the remainder of the period.
Space Weather Scales
About AIA Images
The Atmospheric Imaging Assembly (AIA) on the Solar Dynamics Observatory (SDO) is designed to provide an unprecedented view of the solar corona, taking images that span at least 1.3 solar diameters in multiple wavelengths nearly simultaneously, at a resolution of ~ 1 arcsec and at a cadence of 10 s or better. The primary goal of the AIA Science Investigation is to use these data, together with data from other SDO instruments and from other observatories, to significantly improve our understanding of the physics behind the activity displayed by the Sun's atmosphere, which drives space weather in the heliosphere and in planetary environments. The AIA will produce data required for quantitative studies of the evolving coronal magnetic field, and the plasma that it holds, both in quiescent phases and during flares and eruptions; the AIA science investigation aims to utilize these data in a comprehensive research program to provide new understanding of the observed processes
Left Click Image for screen size, Right Click Image and open in new tab for full size.
Daily Image AIA 171
Channel | Region of atmosphere | Primary ion(s)
171Ã… | quiet corona, upper transition region | Fe IX
Daily Image AIA 171 PFSS Model
Channel | Region of atmosphere | Primary ion(s)
171Ã… | quiet corona, upper transition region | Fe IX
Daily Image AIA 193
Channel | Region of atmosphere | Primary ion(s)
193Ã… | corona and hot flare plasma | Fe XII, XXIV
Daily Image AIA 304
Channel | Region of atmosphere | Primary ion(s)
304Ã… | chromosphere, transition region | He II
Daily Video AIA 171
Daily Video AIA 171 PFSS Model
Daily Video AIA 193
Daily Video AIA 304
About the HMI Images
(Helioseismic and Magnetic Imager)
HMI is an instrument designed to study oscillations and the magnetic field at the solar surface, or photosphere. HMI is one of three instruments on the Solar Dynamics Observatory; together, the suite of instruments observes the Sun nearly continuously and takes a terabyte of data a day. HMI observes the full solar disk at 6173 Ã… with a resolution of 1 arcsecond. HMI is a successor to the Michelson Doppler Imager on the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory. This is very much how the Sun looks like in the visible range of the spectrum (for example, looking at it using special 'eclipse' glasses: Remember, do not ever look directly at the Sun!). The magnetogram image shows the magnetic field in the solar photosphere, with black and white indicating opposite polarities.
Left Click Image for screen size, Right Click Image and open in new tab for full size.
Daily Image HMI Continuum
Daily Image HMI Magnetogram
Daily Video HMI Continuum
Daily Video HMI Magnetogram
About LASCO Images
LASCO (Large Angle Spectrometric Coronagraph) is able to take images of the solar corona by blocking the light coming directly from the Sun with an occulter disk, creating an artificial eclipse within the instrument itself. The position of the solar disk is indicated in the images by the white circle. The most prominent feature of the corona are usually the coronal streamers, those nearly radial bands that can be seen both in C2 and C3. Occasionally, a coronal mass ejection can be seen being expelled away from the Sun and crossing the fields of view of both coronagraphs. The shadow crossing from the lower left corner to the center of the image is the support for the occulter disk.
C2 images show the inner solar corona up to 8.4 million kilometers (5.25 million miles) away from the Sun.
C3 images have a larger field of view: They encompass 32 diameters of the Sun. To put this in perspective, the diameter of the images is 45 million kilometers (about 30 million miles) at the distance of the Sun, or half of the diameter of the orbit of Mercury. Many bright stars can be seen behind the Sun.
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Combined C2 C3 and AIA 304
Log Polar View C2 C3 and AIA 304
Combined C2 C3 and AIA 304 Video
Log Polar View C2 C3 and AIA 304 Video
Space Weather Videos
Space Weather Information

Demystifying Space Weather

An article by Scientific Frontline
Informative information and glossary about “Space Weather”

Space weather has become increasingly important in our modern world due to our growing reliance on technology. It can impact various aspects of our daily lives, from communication and navigation systems to power grids and even astronaut safety. In this deep dive, we'll explore the intricacies of space weather, its causes, its effects, and why understanding it is crucial in our technology-dependent society.



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