. Scientific Frontline: Space Weather

Space Weather


Warnings and Alerts
No Current Warnings
Space Weather Scales
Current Condition and Alerts
Issued: 2026 Mar 10 1205 UTC
Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center

Geophysical Alert Message

Solar-terrestrial indices for 09 March follow.
Solar flux 128 and estimated planetary A-index 7.
The estimated planetary K-index at 1200 UTC on 10 March was 3.00.

No space weather storms were observed for the past 24 hours.

No space weather storms are predicted for the next 24 hours.
Space Weather Scales
Forecast Discussion
Issued: 2026 Mar 10 1230 UTC
Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center

Solar Activity

.24 hr Summary...
Solar activity was low. Low-level C-class flares were observed from
Regions 4381 (N08W56, Cso/beta), 4387 (N09E46, Dro/beta) and new Region
4389 (N13E67, Ero/beta). The largest event of the period was a C7.8/Sf
observed at 09/2038 UTC from Region 4387. Region 4381 simplified with
some dissipation of its intermediate spots, while Region 4384 (N09W34,
Cso/beta) showed a decline in its trailing spot. Region 4385 (S09,
L=161) decayed to plage. Region 4387 remained relatively stable
throughout the period. Region 4388 (S15W25, Cri/beta) was numbered this
period and showed some evolution with new flux emergence and
reconfiguration of the group, though its overall extent remained largely
unchanged. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed in available coronagraph
imagery.

.Forecast...
Solar activity is expected to be at low levels, with a slight chance for
M-class (R1-R2/Minor-Moderate) flares through 12 Mar.


Energetic Particle

.24 hr Summary...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux reached high levels with a peak
flux of 1,320 pfu observed at 09/1610 UTC. The greater than 10 MeV
proton flux was at background levels.

.Forecast...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to reach high levels on
10-12 Mar. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux is expected to continue
at background levels through 12 Mar.


Solar Wind

.24 hr Summary...
Solar wind parameters indicated a waning, negative-polarity, CH HSS
influence. Solar wind speed decreased from approximately 480 km/s to
near 400 km/s. Total field ranged from 1-5 nT while the Bz component was
between +/-5 nT. Phi angle was predominantly negative.

.Forecast...
Mildly enhanced solar wind parameters are expected to continue through
10 Mar as HSS conditions continue to wane, alongside possible transient
influences from the 06 Mar CME. A return to nominal levels is expected
on 11-12 Mar.


Geospace

.24 hr Summary...
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.

.Forecast...
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled on 10 Mar as
HSS conditions continue to diminish with enhancements possible due to
the anticipated arrival of the 06 Mar CME. Mostly quiet conditions are
expected on 11-12 Mar.
Space Weather Scales
Three Day Forecast
Issued: 2026 Mar 10 1230 UTC
Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center

A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 10-Mar 12 2026 is 3.33 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 10-Mar 12 2026

Mar 10 Mar 11 Mar 12
00-03UT 3.33 2.67 1.67
03-06UT 2.67 2.33 1.33
06-09UT 2.33 2.00 1.33
09-12UT 3.00 1.00 1.33
12-15UT 1.00 1.33 1.33
15-18UT 1.00 1.33 1.67
18-21UT 1.67 1.67 1.33
21-00UT 2.00 1.67 1.67

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No
significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 10-Mar 12 2026

Mar 10 Mar 11 Mar 12
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 10-Mar 12 2026

Mar 10 Mar 11 Mar 12
R1-R2 20% 20% 20%
R3 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: There exists a slight chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio
blackouts over 10-12 Mar.
Space Weather Scales
Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
Issued: 2026 Mar 09 0207 UTC
Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center

Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity
02 - 08 March 2026

Solar activity was at low levels with a total of 24 C-class flares
observed. The largest flares of the period were observed early on 02
March; a C6.1 flare at 02/0206 UTC from Region 4380 (S20, L=195,
class/area Dao/140 on 26 Feb) and a C5.2 at 02/0615 UTC and a C 5.9
at 02/ 0749 UTC, both from Region 4381 (N08, L=173, class/area
Eao/220 on 03 Mar). Region 4384 (N10, L=150, class/area Eho/300 on
03 Mar) was the most active, producing 10 weak C-class events. No
Earth-directed CMEs were observed in available LASCO imagery.

No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached
high levels on 02, 03 and 08 Mar with a peak flux of 10,450 pfu
observed at 02/1810 UTC. Normal to moderate levels were observed on
04-07 Mar.

Geomagnetic field activity reached quiet to G1 (Minor) geomagnetic
storm levels during the period. Quiet levels were observed on 02 Mar
through midday on 03 Mar. Unsettled to G1 (Minor) storm levels were
observed on the last half of 03 Mar into early 04 Mar due to effects
from a positive polarity CH HSS. Quiet to isolated unsettled levels
were observed on a majority of 04 Mar through 06 Mar. Negative
polarity CH HSS effects influenced 07-08 Mar with quiet to active
levels observed on the 7th and quiet to G1 (minor) storms observed
on 08 Mar.

Solar wind parameters observed a peak wind speed of about 675 km/s
late on 07 Mar. Total field reached peaks of 11 nT on 03 Mar and 12
nT midday on 07 Mar, while Bz was southward to -10 nT late on 03 Mar
and -9 nT late on 06 Mar. Phi angle was in a mostly positive
orientation on 02 Mar through midday on 06 Mar and in a negative
orientation from midday on 06 Mar through 08 Mar.

Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity
09 March - 04 April 2026

Solar activity is expected to be at low levels, with a slight chance
for M-class (R1-R2/Minor-Moderate) flares throughout the outlook
period. Elevated probabilities are related to the flare potential of
both currently observed spot groups as well as the potential from
returning regions.

No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is
expected to be at high levels on 09-11, 16-19, 23-30 Mar and 04 Apr
due to the influence from multiple, recurrent, CH HSSs. The
remainder of the outlook period is likely to be at normal to
moderate levels.

Geomagnetic field activity is expected to reach G1 (Minor)
geomagnetic storm levels on 14 Mar, 22 Mar, 25 Mar and 03-04 Apr
during the onset CH HSS. G2 (Moderate) geomagnetic storm levels are
likely on 21 Mar due to negative polarity CH HSS effects. Unsettled
to active levels are likely on 09-11, 15-20, 23-24, 26-28, 30 Mar
and 02 Apr. All elevated levels of geomagnetic activity are
associated with the anticipated influence of multiple, recurrent, CH
HSSs. The remainder of the outlook period is likely to be at mostly
quiet levels.
Space Weather Scales
About AIA Images
The Atmospheric Imaging Assembly (AIA) on the Solar Dynamics Observatory (SDO) is designed to provide an unprecedented view of the solar corona, taking images that span at least 1.3 solar diameters in multiple wavelengths nearly simultaneously, at a resolution of ~ 1 arcsec and at a cadence of 10 s or better. The primary goal of the AIA Science Investigation is to use these data, together with data from other SDO instruments and from other observatories, to significantly improve our understanding of the physics behind the activity displayed by the Sun's atmosphere, which drives space weather in the heliosphere and in planetary environments. The AIA will produce data required for quantitative studies of the evolving coronal magnetic field, and the plasma that it holds, both in quiescent phases and during flares and eruptions; the AIA science investigation aims to utilize these data in a comprehensive research program to provide new understanding of the observed processes
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Daily Image AIA 171
Channel | Region of atmosphere | Primary ion(s)
171Ã… | quiet corona, upper transition region | Fe IX
Daily Image AIA 171 PFSS Model
Channel | Region of atmosphere | Primary ion(s)
171Ã… | quiet corona, upper transition region | Fe IX
Daily Image AIA 193
Channel | Region of atmosphere | Primary ion(s)
193Ã… | corona and hot flare plasma | Fe XII, XXIV
Daily Image AIA 304
Channel | Region of atmosphere | Primary ion(s)
304Ã… | chromosphere, transition region | He II
Daily Video AIA 171
Daily Video AIA 171 PFSS Model
Daily Video AIA 193
Daily Video AIA 304
About the HMI Images
(Helioseismic and Magnetic Imager)
HMI is an instrument designed to study oscillations and the magnetic field at the solar surface, or photosphere. HMI is one of three instruments on the Solar Dynamics Observatory; together, the suite of instruments observes the Sun nearly continuously and takes a terabyte of data a day. HMI observes the full solar disk at 6173 Ã… with a resolution of 1 arcsecond. HMI is a successor to the Michelson Doppler Imager on the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory. This is very much how the Sun looks like in the visible range of the spectrum (for example, looking at it using special 'eclipse' glasses: Remember, do not ever look directly at the Sun!). The magnetogram image shows the magnetic field in the solar photosphere, with black and white indicating opposite polarities.
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Daily Image HMI Continuum
Daily Image HMI Magnetogram
About LASCO Images
LASCO (Large Angle Spectrometric Coronagraph) is able to take images of the solar corona by blocking the light coming directly from the Sun with an occulter disk, creating an artificial eclipse within the instrument itself. The position of the solar disk is indicated in the images by the white circle. The most prominent feature of the corona are usually the coronal streamers, those nearly radial bands that can be seen both in C2 and C3. Occasionally, a coronal mass ejection can be seen being expelled away from the Sun and crossing the fields of view of both coronagraphs. The shadow crossing from the lower left corner to the center of the image is the support for the occulter disk.
C2 images show the inner solar corona up to 8.4 million kilometers (5.25 million miles) away from the Sun.
C3 images have a larger field of view: They encompass 32 diameters of the Sun. To put this in perspective, the diameter of the images is 45 million kilometers (about 30 million miles) at the distance of the Sun, or half of the diameter of the orbit of Mercury. Many bright stars can be seen behind the Sun.
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Combined C2 C3 and AIA 304
Log Polar View C2 C3 and AIA 304
Combined C2 C3 and AIA 304 Video
Log Polar View C2 C3 and AIA 304 Video
Space Weather Videos
Space Weather Information

Demystifying Space Weather

An article by Scientific Frontline
Informative information and glossary about “Space Weather”

Space weather has become increasingly important in our modern world due to our growing reliance on technology. It can impact various aspects of our daily lives, from communication and navigation systems to power grids and even astronaut safety. In this deep dive, we'll explore the intricacies of space weather, its causes, its effects, and why understanding it is crucial in our technology-dependent society.



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