. Scientific Frontline: Space Weather

Space Weather


Warnings and Alerts
Issue Time: 2026 Apr 09 0459 UTC

CONTINUED ALERT: Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Continuation of Serial Number: 3669
Begin Time: 2026 Apr 03 0920 UTC
Yesterday Maximum 2MeV Flux: 7322 pfu

Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.
Space Weather Scales
Current Condition and Alerts
Issued: 2026 Apr 09 1205 UTC
Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center

Geophysical Alert Message

Solar-terrestrial indices for 08 April follow.
Solar flux 108 and estimated planetary A-index 7.
The estimated planetary K-index at 1200 UTC on 09 April was 1.33.

Space weather for the past 24 hours has been minor.
Radio blackouts reaching the R1 level occurred.

Space weather for the next 24 hours is predicted to be minor.
Geomagnetic storms reaching the G1 level are likely.
Space Weather Scales
Forecast Discussion
Issued: 2026 Apr 09 1230 UTC
Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center

Solar Activity

.24 hr Summary...
Solar activity reached moderate levels. While much of the period was
characterized by periodic B- and C-class flaring, Region 4409 (N01W78,
Esi/beta-delta) produced an M1.0/Sf flare at 09/0845 UTC. Additionally,
Region 4414 (N15E43, Dro/beta) was responsible for a C8.7/Sf flare at
08/1543 UTC. There are currently six numbered active regions on the
visible disk. Region 4409 remains the most complex group on the disk,
appearing relatively static with some evidence of decline in its
intermediary spots, though a definitive assessment of its magnetic
configuration is increasingly hindered by western limb proximity. Region
4413 (N07W83, Dac/beta) appeared to undergo significant magnetic
simplification with a corresponding decay in extent, though extreme limb
proximity makes this too difficult to confirm. The development of Region
4414 was mixed with new flux emergence around the leading spots while
the trailing spots showed significant decay. The remaining regions
remained largely stable throughout the period.

Coronal activity was complex and difficult to characterize in available
imagery. An eruption to the East was observed in LASCO C2 at 08/1648
UTC, potentially associated with the C8.7 flare from Region 4414. This
feature appeared as a subtle, second shock front silhouetted against a
prior eruption first seen at 08/0536 UTC. Confidence in this second
eruption is low due to its faint signature and the visual interference
of the preceding event. Furthermore, the feature is not discernible in
STEREO A COR2 imagery, suggesting that if an eruption occurred, it is
likely directed far to the east of the Sun-Earth line. Modeling of the
suspected source region indicates no Earth-directed component.

.Forecast...
Solar activity is expected to be at low levels 09-11 Apr with a chance
for M-class (R1-R2/Minor-Moderate) flares. A slight chance for X-class
(R3/Strong and above) flaring exists 09 Apr until diminishing as Region
4409 rotates off the visible disk.

Energetic Particle

.24 hr Summary...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was at high levels with a peak flux
of 7,322 pfu at 08/1555 UTC. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at
background levels.

.Forecast...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to continue to reach
high levels through 09 Apr. A drop to moderate levels is forecasted for
10 Apr due to the anticipated arrival of a corotating interacting region
(CIR) before again reaching high levels on 12 Apr due to the onset of a
positive polarity coronal hole high speed stream (+CH HSS). The
greater than 10 MeV proton flux is expected to remain at background
levels.


Solar Wind

.24 hr Summary...
Solar wind parameters reflected near-nominal, quiet-regime conditions
throughout the reporting period. Wind speeds averaged approximately 375
km/s and gradually declined throughout the period. The total magnetic
field (Bt) averaged around 5 nT, while the North-South (Bz) component
was predominantly southward and reached a maximum deflection of -4 nT.
The phi angle exhibited a three-hour excursion into the positive (away)
sector mid-period, though it remained predominantly in a negative
(towards) orientation.

.Forecast...
Solar wind parameters are expected to remain at nominal conditions
through 09 Apr. Disturbed conditions are anticipated on 10 Apr, followed
by elevated parameters on 11 Apr, due to the arrival of a CIR and the
subsequent onset of a +CH HSS.


Geospace

.24 hr Summary...
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels.

.Forecast...
The geomagnetic field is expected to remain mostly quiet 09 Apr. G1
(Minor) storming levels are anticipated 10-11 Apr due to the arrival of
the CIR and the effects of the +CH HSS..
Space Weather Scales
Three Day Forecast
Issued: 2026 Apr 09 1230 UTC
Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center

A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 2 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Apr 09-Apr 11 2026 is 5.33 (NOAA Scale
G1).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Apr 09-Apr 11 2026

Apr 09 Apr 10 Apr 11
00-03UT 1.67 2.33 5.33 (G1)
03-06UT 1.00 5.00 (G1) 4.00
06-09UT 2.00 4.33 4.00
09-12UT 1.33 3.67 3.33
12-15UT 2.00 2.67 3.67
15-18UT 1.67 2.67 4.00
18-21UT 1.67 3.67 4.67 (G1)
21-00UT 1.67 4.33 4.67 (G1)

Rationale: G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are likely on 10 and
11 Apr due to positive polarity coronal hole high speed stream onset.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Apr 09-Apr 11 2026

Apr 09 Apr 10 Apr 11
S1 or greater 10% 5% 1%

Rationale: There is a slight and declining chance for the greater than
10 MeV proton flux to exceed S1 (Minor) solar radiation storm level
09-11 Apr primarily due to the complexity of Region 4409 and its
forthcoming rotation off the visible disk.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

Radio blackouts reaching the R1 levels were observed over the past 24
hours. The largest was at Apr 09 2026 0845 UTC.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Apr 09-Apr 11 2026

Apr 09 Apr 10 Apr 11
R1-R2 30% 20% 20%
R3 or greater 10% 5% 1%

Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts
on 09 Apr with a slight chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio
blackouts 10-11 Apr and for R3 (Strong) or greater events through 11 Apr
primarily due to the development of Regions 4409 and 4414.
Space Weather Scales
Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
Issued: 2026 Apr 06 0211 UTC
Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center

Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity
30 March - 05 April 2026

Solar activity reached high levels on 30 Mar and 04 Apr, moderate
levels on 02-03 Apr, with low levels observed on 31 Mar, 01 Apr, and
5 Apr.

Region 4409 (N02, L=156, class/area=Eai/170 on 04 Apr) was the most
active of the period, producing 50 C-class flares and six M-class
flares. Region 4405 (S27, L=220, class/area=Eai/220 on 02 Apr) added
the strongest flare of the period, an X1.4/Sf flare, on 30 Mar at
0319 UTC. Accompanying the flare was a Type II radio sweep
(estimated velocity 1872 km/s) and a partial halo CME first seen in
LASCO C2 imagery at 30/0312 UTC. Expected impacts from this CME were
on 01 Apr. Region 4409 also produced a C8.1 flare at 01/1958 UTC.
Accompanying this flare was a filament eruption and subsequent CME
that had a likely Earth-directed trajectory with impacts likely felt
on 03-04 Apr.

Slightly elevated proton levels were observed from 01-05 Apr, but
conditions remained below alert thresholds throughout the period.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached
high levels throughout most of the period of 30 Mar - 05 Apr, with a
peak flux value of 6,000 pfu observed at 05/1645 UTC. The only
exception was on 02 Apr when conditions dropped to moderate levels
for that 24 hour reporting period.

Geomagnetic field activity ranged from quiet to G3 (Strong) storm
levels during the 30 Mar - 05 Apr period. Quiet to unsettled levels
were observed on 30 Mar - 01 Apr, and most of 05 Apr (aside from an
isolated active period at the beginning of the UT day). Conditions
increased to active to G2 (Moderate) levels on 02 Apr following the
onset of a negative polarity coronal hole high speed stream (CH
HSS). Conditions remained at active to G1 (Minor) levels through
midday on 03 Apr when they increased to G3 (Strong) levels with the
arrival of the anticipated CME from 01 Apr (C8.1 flare and filament
eruption). Conditions then decreased to G1 levels to start 04 Apr,
before decreasing to quiet to active conditions lasting through 05
Apr.

Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity
06 April - 02 May 2026

Solar activity is expected to be at low levels, with a varying
chance for M-class (R1-R2/Minor-Moderate) flares, and a slight
chance for X-Class (R3/Strong) flares from 06 Apr through 02 May.

No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit, barring any
significant, non-recurrent solar activity.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is
expected to reach high levels on 06-09 Apr, 11-16 Apr, and 18 Apr-02
May. Normal to moderate flux levels are expected on 10 and 17 Apr.

Geomagnetic field activity is anticipated to reach G1/G2
(Minor/Moderate) geomagnetic storm levels on 18-19, and 29 Apr due
to the influence of negative polarity CH HSS (-CH HSS). Periods of
G1 (Minor) storming are likely on 04 April in response to a negative
polarity CH HSS (-CH HSS). Unsettled to Active levels are expected
on 06-07 Apr, 20-22 Apr, and 30 Apr, as well as 01-02 May associated
with negative polarity CH HSS effects. On 10-13 and 25-26 April,
positive polarity CH HSS influences are expected to bump geomagnetic
conditions to unsettled to active levels. Mostly quiet levels are
expected during all other days of the period.
Space Weather Scales
About AIA Images
The Atmospheric Imaging Assembly (AIA) on the Solar Dynamics Observatory (SDO) is designed to provide an unprecedented view of the solar corona, taking images that span at least 1.3 solar diameters in multiple wavelengths nearly simultaneously, at a resolution of ~ 1 arcsec and at a cadence of 10 s or better. The primary goal of the AIA Science Investigation is to use these data, together with data from other SDO instruments and from other observatories, to significantly improve our understanding of the physics behind the activity displayed by the Sun's atmosphere, which drives space weather in the heliosphere and in planetary environments. The AIA will produce data required for quantitative studies of the evolving coronal magnetic field, and the plasma that it holds, both in quiescent phases and during flares and eruptions; the AIA science investigation aims to utilize these data in a comprehensive research program to provide new understanding of the observed processes
Left Click Image for screen size, Right Click Image and open in new tab for full size.
Daily Image AIA 171
Channel | Region of atmosphere | Primary ion(s)
171Ă… | quiet corona, upper transition region | Fe IX
Daily Image AIA 171 PFSS Model
Channel | Region of atmosphere | Primary ion(s)
171Ă… | quiet corona, upper transition region | Fe IX
Daily Image AIA 193
Channel | Region of atmosphere | Primary ion(s)
193Ă… | corona and hot flare plasma | Fe XII, XXIV
Daily Image AIA 304
Channel | Region of atmosphere | Primary ion(s)
304Ă… | chromosphere, transition region | He II
Daily Video AIA 171
Daily Video AIA 171 PFSS Model
Daily Video AIA 193
Daily Video AIA 304
About the HMI Images
(Helioseismic and Magnetic Imager)
HMI is an instrument designed to study oscillations and the magnetic field at the solar surface, or photosphere. HMI is one of three instruments on the Solar Dynamics Observatory; together, the suite of instruments observes the Sun nearly continuously and takes a terabyte of data a day. HMI observes the full solar disk at 6173 Ă… with a resolution of 1 arcsecond. HMI is a successor to the Michelson Doppler Imager on the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory. This is very much how the Sun looks like in the visible range of the spectrum (for example, looking at it using special 'eclipse' glasses: Remember, do not ever look directly at the Sun!). The magnetogram image shows the magnetic field in the solar photosphere, with black and white indicating opposite polarities.
Left Click Image for screen size, Right Click Image and open in new tab for full size.
Daily Image HMI Continuum
Daily Image HMI Magnetogram
Daily Video HMI Continuum
Daily Video HMI Magnetogram
About LASCO Images
LASCO (Large Angle Spectrometric Coronagraph) is able to take images of the solar corona by blocking the light coming directly from the Sun with an occulter disk, creating an artificial eclipse within the instrument itself. The position of the solar disk is indicated in the images by the white circle. The most prominent feature of the corona are usually the coronal streamers, those nearly radial bands that can be seen both in C2 and C3. Occasionally, a coronal mass ejection can be seen being expelled away from the Sun and crossing the fields of view of both coronagraphs. The shadow crossing from the lower left corner to the center of the image is the support for the occulter disk.
C2 images show the inner solar corona up to 8.4 million kilometers (5.25 million miles) away from the Sun.
C3 images have a larger field of view: They encompass 32 diameters of the Sun. To put this in perspective, the diameter of the images is 45 million kilometers (about 30 million miles) at the distance of the Sun, or half of the diameter of the orbit of Mercury. Many bright stars can be seen behind the Sun.
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Combined C2 C3 and AIA 304
Log Polar View C2 C3 and AIA 304
Combined C2 C3 and AIA 304 Video
Log Polar View C2 C3 and AIA 304 Video
Space Weather Videos
Space Weather Information

Demystifying Space Weather

An article by Scientific Frontline
Informative information and glossary about “Space Weather”

Space weather has become increasingly important in our modern world due to our growing reliance on technology. It can impact various aspects of our daily lives, from communication and navigation systems to power grids and even astronaut safety. In this deep dive, we'll explore the intricacies of space weather, its causes, its effects, and why understanding it is crucial in our technology-dependent society.



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