. Scientific Frontline: Space Weather

Space Weather


Warnings and Alerts
No Current Warnings
Space Weather Scales
Current Condition and Alerts
Issued: 2026 May 24 1205 UTC
Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center

Geophysical Alert Message

Solar-terrestrial indices for 23 May follow.
Solar flux 137 and estimated planetary A-index 3.
The estimated planetary K-index at 1200 UTC on 24 May was 1.33.

No space weather storms were observed for the past 24 hours.

No space weather storms are predicted for the next 24 hours.
Space Weather Scales
Forecast Discussion
Issued: 2026 May 24 1230 UTC
Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center

Solar Activity

.24 hr Summary...
Solar activity remained at low levels. The majority of the C-class
activity originated from the eastern and western limbs of the Sun. The
strongest flare was a C5.5 flare at 23/2204 UTC. Region 4441 (N08W78,
ESO/beta) was responsible for a C2.8 flare at 23/1954 UTC. This event
also produced a Type II radio sweep (est. 932 km/s). The CME signatures
identified in available coronagraph imagery were associated with
activity on or behind the Suns limb. No Earth-directed components were
suspected.

Newly numbered Region 4447 (S15E32, Dao/beta) was a separation of the
northern spots from Region 4444 (S21E36, Hsx/alpha).

.Forecast...
Solar activity is expected to remain at low levels, with a chance for
isolated M-class flares (R1-R2/Minor-Moderate) on 24-26 May, primarily
due to the flare potential of Region 4441 and Region 4446.

Energetic Particle

.24 hr Summary...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit remained at
moderate to high levels, reaching a peak level of 4,016 pfu at 23/1555
UTC. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux at geosynchronous orbit
remained at background levels.

.Forecast...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to remain at moderate
to high levels on 24-25 May before returning to low to moderate levels
on 26 May. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux is expected to remain at
background levels through 26 May.

Solar Wind

.24 hr Summary...
Solar wind parameters reflected near-background conditions. Wind speeds
were between 290-330 km/s, total magnetic field strength varied from 3-5
nT. The phi angle was predominantly in a negative orientation.

.Forecast...
Primarily ambient conditions are expected for 24-25 May under a
background solar wind regime. Late on 26 May, enhancements to the solar
wind environment are possible with the anticipated onset of a negative
polarity CH HSS.

Geospace

.24 hr Summary...
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels.

.Forecast...
Mostly quiet levels are anticipated on 24-25 May under a near-background
solar regime. Periods of unsettled conditions are possible, with a
chance for an isolated active period, late on 26 May with the likely
onset of an approaching -CH HSS.
Space Weather Scales
Three Day Forecast
Issued: 2026 May 24 1230 UTC
Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center

A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 1 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for May 24-May 26 2026 is 3.00 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown May 24-May 26 2026

May 24 May 25 May 26
00-03UT 1.00 1.67 1.33
03-06UT 1.00 1.33 2.00
06-09UT 1.33 1.33 2.33
09-12UT 1.00 1.33 2.00
12-15UT 1.33 1.67 2.00
15-18UT 1.33 1.33 2.00
18-21UT 1.33 1.67 2.00
21-00UT 1.67 1.33 3.00

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No
significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-19 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for May 24-May 26 2026

May 24 May 25 May 26
S1 or greater 5% 5% 5%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for May 24-May 26 2026

May 24 May 25 May 26
R1-R2 35% 35% 35%
R3 or greater 5% 5% 5%

Rationale: There exists a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio
blackouts over 24-26 May.
Space Weather Scales
Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
Issued: 2026 May 18 0431 UTC
Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center

Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity
11 - 17 May 2026

Solar activity reached moderate levels on 16 May due to four M-class
flares. The largest were an M1.9/2N (R1-Minor) at 16/1612UTC from
Region 4436 (N18, L=330, class/area=Dao/200 on 11 May) and a second
M1.9 flare (R1-Moderate) at 16/1742UTC from Region 4435 (N22, L=040,
class/area=Dao/070 on 15 May). The 1612UTC M1.9 was associated with
a Type IV radio sweep, two 10.7 cm radio bursts, and a filament
eruption that was centered at approximately N21W07, which lead to a
complex CME signature in coronagraph imagery. The first front was
first seen in LASCO C2 imagery at 16/1636UTC, and the second front
became visible at approximately 16/1700 UTC. Analysis and modeling
of the event suggests potential for a glancing blow at Earth by mid
UTC-day on 18 May, with the bulk of the material passing northward
of Earth's orbit.

The other two M-flares, an M1.4 at 17/0339UTC and an M1.3 at
16/1629, were also from Regions 4435 and 4436, with the M1.3
following on the heels of the 16/1612UTC M1.9. The other 11 numbered
active regions on this visible disk were either quiet or only
produced C-class activity during the past week. 3 Type II radio
sweeps and an additional 10.7cm radio burst were observed during the
summary period, but they were not associated with any Earth-directed
activity

No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at
normal to moderate levels for the majority of the summary period,
before increasing to high levels at 16/1740UTC. During the summary
period, the maximum value reached was 6,120 pfu at 17/1740UTC.

Geomagnetic field activity reached G1-G2 (Minor-Moderate)
geomagnetic storming levels on 15-16 May due to a negative polarity
coronal hole high speed stream becoming geoeffective late on 15 May.
Total magnetic field strength, Bt, increased all throughout 15 May,
from approximately 3 nT to a peak of 17 nT at 15/1555UTC. The
north-south component, Bz, rotated between +/- 11 nT, with maximum
southward deflections of approximately -13 nT. The interplanetary
magnetic field had returned to background levels by the end of 16
May. A smaller positive polarity coronal hole high speed stream
became geoeffective on 13 May with a max Bt of 13 nT and maximum Bz
southward deflection of -9 nT; however this only produced unsettled
geomagnetic conditions and no NOAA Geomagnetic Storming thresholds
were reached.

Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity
18 May - 13 June 2026

Solar activity is expected to be at low to moderate levels
throughout the outlook period, with M-class activity (R1-R2,
Minor-Moderate) ranging from a chance to likely and X-class activity
(R3, Strong) ranging from a slight chance to a chance, due to the
flare potential of several active regions currently on the visible
disk and those both expected to return and indicated by Solar
Orbiter magnetic imagery.

No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is
expected to be at high levels on 18 May and 21-23 May due to
influence from the current negative polarity coronal hole high speed
stream and an anticipated solar sector boundary cross on 21 May. The
remaining days of the outlook period are likely to be at normal to
moderate levels.

Geomagnetic field activity is expected to reach G1 (Minor)
geomagnetic storming levels over 18-19 May due to potential
influences from the CME that left the Sun on 16 May arriving in the
near-Earth environment in the midst of the current high speed
stream. The remainder of the outlook period is anticipated to be at
largely quiet to unsettled levels.
Space Weather Scales
About AIA Images
The Atmospheric Imaging Assembly (AIA) on the Solar Dynamics Observatory (SDO) is designed to provide an unprecedented view of the solar corona, taking images that span at least 1.3 solar diameters in multiple wavelengths nearly simultaneously, at a resolution of ~ 1 arcsec and at a cadence of 10 s or better. The primary goal of the AIA Science Investigation is to use these data, together with data from other SDO instruments and from other observatories, to significantly improve our understanding of the physics behind the activity displayed by the Sun's atmosphere, which drives space weather in the heliosphere and in planetary environments. The AIA will produce data required for quantitative studies of the evolving coronal magnetic field, and the plasma that it holds, both in quiescent phases and during flares and eruptions; the AIA science investigation aims to utilize these data in a comprehensive research program to provide new understanding of the observed processes
Left Click Image for screen size, Right Click Image and open in new tab for full size.
Daily Image AIA 171
Channel | Region of atmosphere | Primary ion(s)
171Ã… | quiet corona, upper transition region | Fe IX
Daily Image AIA 171 PFSS Model
Channel | Region of atmosphere | Primary ion(s)
171Ã… | quiet corona, upper transition region | Fe IX
Daily Image AIA 193
Channel | Region of atmosphere | Primary ion(s)
193Ã… | corona and hot flare plasma | Fe XII, XXIV
Daily Image AIA 304
Channel | Region of atmosphere | Primary ion(s)
304Ã… | chromosphere, transition region | He II
Daily Video AIA 171
Daily Video AIA 171 PFSS Model
Daily Video AIA 193
Daily Video AIA 304
About the HMI Images
(Helioseismic and Magnetic Imager)
HMI is an instrument designed to study oscillations and the magnetic field at the solar surface, or photosphere. HMI is one of three instruments on the Solar Dynamics Observatory; together, the suite of instruments observes the Sun nearly continuously and takes a terabyte of data a day. HMI observes the full solar disk at 6173 Ã… with a resolution of 1 arcsecond. HMI is a successor to the Michelson Doppler Imager on the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory. This is very much how the Sun looks like in the visible range of the spectrum (for example, looking at it using special 'eclipse' glasses: Remember, do not ever look directly at the Sun!). The magnetogram image shows the magnetic field in the solar photosphere, with black and white indicating opposite polarities.
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Daily Image HMI Continuum
Daily Image HMI Magnetogram
Daily Video HMI Continuum
Daily Video HMI Magnetogram
About LASCO Images
LASCO (Large Angle Spectrometric Coronagraph) is able to take images of the solar corona by blocking the light coming directly from the Sun with an occulter disk, creating an artificial eclipse within the instrument itself. The position of the solar disk is indicated in the images by the white circle. The most prominent feature of the corona are usually the coronal streamers, those nearly radial bands that can be seen both in C2 and C3. Occasionally, a coronal mass ejection can be seen being expelled away from the Sun and crossing the fields of view of both coronagraphs. The shadow crossing from the lower left corner to the center of the image is the support for the occulter disk.
C2 images show the inner solar corona up to 8.4 million kilometers (5.25 million miles) away from the Sun.
C3 images have a larger field of view: They encompass 32 diameters of the Sun. To put this in perspective, the diameter of the images is 45 million kilometers (about 30 million miles) at the distance of the Sun, or half of the diameter of the orbit of Mercury. Many bright stars can be seen behind the Sun.
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Combined C2 C3 and AIA 304
Log Polar View C2 C3 and AIA 304
Combined C2 C3 and AIA 304 Video
Log Polar View C2 C3 and AIA 304 Video
Space Weather Videos
Space Weather Information

Demystifying Space Weather

An article by Scientific Frontline
Informative information and glossary about “Space Weather”

Space weather has become increasingly important in our modern world due to our growing reliance on technology. It can impact various aspects of our daily lives, from communication and navigation systems to power grids and even astronaut safety. In this deep dive, we'll explore the intricacies of space weather, its causes, its effects, and why understanding it is crucial in our technology-dependent society.



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