. Scientific Frontline: Space Weather

Space Weather


Warnings and Alerts
Issue Time: 2026 Apr 19 0849 UTC

EXTENDED WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 2226
Valid From: 2026 Apr 18 2348 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2026 Apr 19 1800 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.
Space Weather Scales
Current Condition and Alerts
Issued: 2026 Apr 19 1205 UTC
Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center

Geophysical Alert Message

Solar-terrestrial indices for 18 April follow.
Solar flux 106 and estimated planetary A-index 33.
The estimated planetary K-index at 1200 UTC on 19 April was 3.67.

Space weather for the past 24 hours has been moderate.
Geomagnetic storms reaching the G2 level occurred.

Space weather for the next 24 hours is predicted to be moderate.
Geomagnetic storms reaching the G2 level are expected.
Space Weather Scales
Forecast Discussion
Issued: 2026 Apr 19 1230 UTC
Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center

Solar Activity

.24 hr Summary...
Solar activity was at very low levels with only B-level enhancements
observed. Region 4415 (S18W68, Hsx/alpha) remained unchanged and was
unremarkable. Region 4419 (N13W06, Eso/beta-gamma) exhibited little
change and remained mostly inactive during the period as well.

No other Earth directed CMEs were observed in coronagraph imagery.

.Forecast...
Solar activity is likely to be low with a slight chance for M-class
(R1-R2, Minor-Moderate) flares on 19-21 Apr, primarily due to the flare
potential of Region 4419.

Energetic Particle

.24 hr Summary...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at
moderate levels. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at background
levels.

.Forecast...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to increase back to
moderate to high levels on 19-21 Apr. The greater than 10 MeV proton
flux is expected to continue at background levels on 19-21 Apr.

Solar Wind

.24 hr Summary...
Solar wind parameters were enhanced throughout the period as CH HSS
influence continued to dominate the solar wind environment. Total field
ranged from 2-14 nT, the Bz component fluctuated between +9/-7 nT, and
solar wind speeds varied between approximately 400-600 km/s. Phi was
mostly in a negative orientation, with isolated oscillations into a
positive position.

.Forecast...
Solar wind parameters are expected to remain enhanced on 19 Apr with
continued negative polarity CH HSS influence. The enhanced conditions
are expected to gradually taper off on 20-21 Apr as the CH HSS moves
from its geoeffective position.

Geospace

.24 hr Summary...
The geomagnetic field was predominantly at active to G1 (Minor) levels,
with an isolated period of G2 (Moderate) storming.

.Forecast...
Active to G1-G2 (Minor-Moderate) geomagnetic storm levels are expected
on 19 Apr as negative polarity CH HSS geomagnetic conditions persist. A
return to unsettled to active conditions is expected on 20-21 Apr, as
HSS effects diminish.
Space Weather Scales
Three Day Forecast
Issued: 2026 Apr 19 1230 UTC
Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center

A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 6 (NOAA Scale
G2).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Apr 19-Apr 21 2026 is 5.67 (NOAA Scale
G2).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Apr 19-Apr 21 2026

Apr 19 Apr 20 Apr 21
00-03UT 3.67 3.67 3.33
03-06UT 4.67 (G1) 3.67 4.00
06-09UT 5.67 (G2) 3.33 3.00
09-12UT 3.67 3.33 2.67
12-15UT 5.67 (G2) 3.33 2.33
15-18UT 4.67 (G1) 2.00 3.00
18-21UT 3.00 3.33 2.67
21-00UT 4.00 3.33 2.33

Rationale: G1-G2 (Minor-Moderate) geomagnetic storm levels are expected
on 19 Apr as negative polarity CH HSS geomagnetic conditions persist.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Apr 19-Apr 21 2026

Apr 19 Apr 20 Apr 21
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Apr 19-Apr 21 2026

Apr 19 Apr 20 Apr 21
R1-R2 10% 10% 10%
R3 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: There is a slight chance for (R1-R2, Minor-Moderate) radio
blackouts on 19-21 Apr, primarily due to the flare potential of Region
4419.
Space Weather Scales
Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
Issued: 2026 Apr 13 0104 UTC
Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center

Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity
06 - 12 April 2026

Solar activity was at very low to moderate levels during the period.
Moderate levels were reached on 09 Apr, with low levels observed on
06-08 Apr and 11-12 Apr. Very low levels occurred on 10 Apr.

Region 4409 (N02, L=158, class/area=Eai/190 on 07 Apr) was the most
active region of the period, producing 11 C-class flares and the
only M-class flare of the period, an impulsive M1.0/Sf at 09/0845
UTC. Region 4417 (S08, L=123, class/area=Dao/30 on 12 Apr) also
contributed notable activity with 7 C-class flares after appearing
quickly on 11 Apr near the West limb. Other activity included a
C8.7/Sf flare from Region 4414 (N15, L=26, class/area Dro/30 on 08
Apr) at 08/1543 UTC, which was associated with Type III radio
emissions and a weak CME without any Earth-directed components.

No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at
high levels throughout the reporting period. Flux levels reached a
peak value of 10,679 pfu at 09/1605 UTC.

Geomagnetic field activity ranged from quiet to active levels during
the period. The beginning of the period (06-07 Apr) saw quiet to
unsettled conditions as the influence of a negative polarity coronal
hole high speed stream (-CH HSS) continued to wane. From 10-12 Apr,
quiet to active levels were observerd under the onset and influence
of a positive polarity CH HSS (+CH HSS). Quiet conditions prevailed
during all other days of the period under a nominal solar wind
regime.

Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity
13 April - 09 May 2026

Solar activity is expected to be at low levels, with a varying
chance for M-class (R1-R2/Minor-Moderate) flares and a slight chance
for X-class (R3/Strong or greater) flares through 09 May.

No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit, barring any
significant, non-recurrent solar activity.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is
expected to reach high levels on 13-17 Apr, 19-24 Apr, 26-28 Apr, 30
Apr-05 May, and 08-09 May. Normal to moderate flux levels are
expected on 18 Apr, 25 Apr, 29 Apr, and 06-07 May.

Geomagnetic field activity is anticipated to reach G1-G2
(Minor-Moderate) storm levels on 19 Apr and 29 Apr due to -CH HSS
influences, and on 07 May due to +CH HSS influences. Active
conditions are expected on 18 Apr, 20 Apr, and 30 Apr-01 May in
response to -CH HSS effects, and on 15 Apr, 25 Apr, and 08 May due
to +CH HSS effects. Mostly quiet to unsettled conditions are
expected for all other days of the period.


Space Weather Scales
About AIA Images
The Atmospheric Imaging Assembly (AIA) on the Solar Dynamics Observatory (SDO) is designed to provide an unprecedented view of the solar corona, taking images that span at least 1.3 solar diameters in multiple wavelengths nearly simultaneously, at a resolution of ~ 1 arcsec and at a cadence of 10 s or better. The primary goal of the AIA Science Investigation is to use these data, together with data from other SDO instruments and from other observatories, to significantly improve our understanding of the physics behind the activity displayed by the Sun's atmosphere, which drives space weather in the heliosphere and in planetary environments. The AIA will produce data required for quantitative studies of the evolving coronal magnetic field, and the plasma that it holds, both in quiescent phases and during flares and eruptions; the AIA science investigation aims to utilize these data in a comprehensive research program to provide new understanding of the observed processes
Left Click Image for screen size, Right Click Image and open in new tab for full size.
Daily Image AIA 171
Channel | Region of atmosphere | Primary ion(s)
171Ã… | quiet corona, upper transition region | Fe IX
Daily Image AIA 171 PFSS Model
Channel | Region of atmosphere | Primary ion(s)
171Ã… | quiet corona, upper transition region | Fe IX
Daily Image AIA 193
Channel | Region of atmosphere | Primary ion(s)
193Ã… | corona and hot flare plasma | Fe XII, XXIV
Daily Image AIA 304
Channel | Region of atmosphere | Primary ion(s)
304Ã… | chromosphere, transition region | He II
Daily Video AIA 171
Daily Video AIA 171 PFSS Model
Daily Video AIA 193
Daily Video AIA 304
About the HMI Images
(Helioseismic and Magnetic Imager)
HMI is an instrument designed to study oscillations and the magnetic field at the solar surface, or photosphere. HMI is one of three instruments on the Solar Dynamics Observatory; together, the suite of instruments observes the Sun nearly continuously and takes a terabyte of data a day. HMI observes the full solar disk at 6173 Ã… with a resolution of 1 arcsecond. HMI is a successor to the Michelson Doppler Imager on the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory. This is very much how the Sun looks like in the visible range of the spectrum (for example, looking at it using special 'eclipse' glasses: Remember, do not ever look directly at the Sun!). The magnetogram image shows the magnetic field in the solar photosphere, with black and white indicating opposite polarities.
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Daily Image HMI Continuum
Daily Image HMI Magnetogram
Daily Video HMI Continuum
Daily Video HMI Magnetogram
About LASCO Images
LASCO (Large Angle Spectrometric Coronagraph) is able to take images of the solar corona by blocking the light coming directly from the Sun with an occulter disk, creating an artificial eclipse within the instrument itself. The position of the solar disk is indicated in the images by the white circle. The most prominent feature of the corona are usually the coronal streamers, those nearly radial bands that can be seen both in C2 and C3. Occasionally, a coronal mass ejection can be seen being expelled away from the Sun and crossing the fields of view of both coronagraphs. The shadow crossing from the lower left corner to the center of the image is the support for the occulter disk.
C2 images show the inner solar corona up to 8.4 million kilometers (5.25 million miles) away from the Sun.
C3 images have a larger field of view: They encompass 32 diameters of the Sun. To put this in perspective, the diameter of the images is 45 million kilometers (about 30 million miles) at the distance of the Sun, or half of the diameter of the orbit of Mercury. Many bright stars can be seen behind the Sun.
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Combined C2 C3 and AIA 304
Log Polar View C2 C3 and AIA 304
Combined C2 C3 and AIA 304 Video
Log Polar View C2 C3 and AIA 304 Video
Space Weather Videos
Space Weather Information

Demystifying Space Weather

An article by Scientific Frontline
Informative information and glossary about “Space Weather”

Space weather has become increasingly important in our modern world due to our growing reliance on technology. It can impact various aspects of our daily lives, from communication and navigation systems to power grids and even astronaut safety. In this deep dive, we'll explore the intricacies of space weather, its causes, its effects, and why understanding it is crucial in our technology-dependent society.



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