. Scientific Frontline: Space Weather

Space Weather


Warnings and Alerts
No Current Warnings
Space Weather Scales
Current Condition and Alerts
Issued: 2026 Apr 29 1205 UTC
Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center

Geophysical Alert Message

Solar-terrestrial indices for 28 April follow.
Solar flux 149 and estimated planetary A-index 3.
The estimated planetary K-index at 1200 UTC on 29 April was 1.00.

Space weather for the past 24 hours has been minor.
Radio blackouts reaching the R1 level occurred.

Space weather for the next 24 hours is predicted to be moderate.
Radio blackouts reaching the R2 level are likely.
Space Weather Scales
Forecast Discussion
Issued: 2026 Apr 29 1230 UTC
Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center

Solar Activity

.24 hr Summary...
Solar activity was at moderate levels as Region 4420 (N16W50,
Fkc/beta-gamma-delta) produced three M1 flares. The largest was an
M1.5/Sn at 28/1353 UTC. Only C-class flaring was observed from Region
4425 (N05E15, Ekc/beta-delta), despite its complexity. The largest was a
C8.1/1f at 28/1849 UTC. Slight decay was observed in the leading and
intermediate spots of Region 4420 and indications of simplifying
magnetically. Slight growth and consolidation was observed in Regions
4425 and 4424 (N17W15, Eao/beta). New Region 4428 (S24E06, Cro/beta)
emerged and was numbered. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed.

.Forecast...
Solar activity is likely to reach moderate levels (R1-R2,
Minor-Moderate) over 29 Apr - 01 May with a slight chance for X-class
flares (R3-Strong) due primarily to the complexity of Regions 4420 and
4425.

Energetic Particle

.24 hr Summary...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was at normal to moderate levels.
The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at background levels.

.Forecast...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to be at normal to
moderate levels on 29 Apr. An increase to high levels is likely on 30
Apr - 01 May due to CH HSS influence. There is a slight chance the
greater than 10 MeV proton flux could reach S1 (Minor) levels on 29 Apr
- 01 May due to the flare potential of Regions 4420 and 4425.

Solar Wind

.24 hr Summary...
Solar wind parameters were at nominal levels with solar wind speed
slowly decreasing from 365-320 km/s. Total field ranged from 2-4 nT
while the Bz component was between +3/-2 nT. Phi angle was mostly
positive.

.Forecast...
Solar wind parameters are expected to be at or near nominal levels
through midday on 29 Apr. An increase in activity is expected by mid to
late on 29 Apr with the onset of a negative polarity CH HSS. HSS
conditions are expected to persist through 01 May. Solar wind speeds in
the 450-550 km/s range are likely.

Geospace

.24 hr Summary...
The geomagnetic field was quiet.

.Forecast...
Mostly quiet levels are expected to persist through mid to late on 29
Apr. An increase to unsettled to active levels, with a chance for G1
(Minor) storming, is expected on 29-30 Apr with the onset of a negative
polarity CH HSS. Unsettled levels are expected on 01 May as HSS activity
persists.
Space Weather Scales
Three Day Forecast
Issued: 2026 Apr 29 1230 UTC
Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center

A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 1 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Apr 29-May 01 2026 is 4.00 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Apr 29-May 01 2026

Apr 29 Apr 30 May 01
00-03UT 0.33 4.00 3.00
03-06UT 0.67 3.33 2.67
06-09UT 1.00 2.67 2.67
09-12UT 1.33 3.00 2.33
12-15UT 1.00 2.33 2.00
15-18UT 1.00 2.33 2.00
18-21UT 1.33 2.00 2.00
21-00UT 1.67 3.00 2.33

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No
significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Apr 29-May 01 2026

Apr 29 Apr 30 May 01
S1 or greater 15% 15% 15%

Rationale: There is a slight chance the greater than 10 MeV proton flux
could reach S1 (Minor) levels, but is mainly expected to remain at
background levels 29 Apr - 01 May.


C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

Radio blackouts reaching the R1 levels were observed over the past 24
hours. The largest was at Apr 28 2026 1353 UTC.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Apr 29-May 01 2026

Apr 29 Apr 30 May 01
R1-R2 70% 70% 70%
R3 or greater 20% 20% 20%

Rationale: There is a high likelihood for R1/R2 (Minor/Moderate) radio
blackouts, and a slight chance for R3 (Strong or greater) events through
01 May, due primarily to the complexity of regions 4420 and 4425.
Space Weather Scales
Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
Issued: 2026 Apr 27 0538 UTC
Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center

Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity
20 - 26 April 2026

Solar activity ranged from low to high levels. The strongest events
of the period were an X2.4 flare (R3-Strong) at 24/0107 UTC and an
X2.5/2B (R3) at 24/0813 UTC from Region 4419 (N14, L=314,
class/area=Eki/360 on 17 Apr). The X2.4 flare had as associated
Tenflare and CME signature. Modeling of the CME indicated possible
influence from the far periphery of the event on 26 Apr. The X2.5
flare had an associated Type II (est 1,293 km/s), Type IV, and
Tenflare (570sfu) as well as a CME signature in coronagraph imagery.
Modeling of this event suggested the primary bulk of the plasma was
not on the Sun-Earth line.

Other major X-ray events included an M6.4/1F (R2-Moderate) at
24/1815 UTC from Region 4419. The resulting CME was off the
Sun-Earth line. An M6.0 (R2) flare 26/2257 UTC from Region 4420
(N16, L=225, class/area=Fki/400 on 25 Apr). As associated Type II
(est 834 km/s) was reported with this event as well as a 30,000sfu
burst on 245MHz. No CME signature was identified in subsequent
coronagraph imagery.

13 other M-class (R1-Minor) events were observed over the past week
with many producing radio and CME signatures. However, those events
that were associated with CMEs did not contain an Earth-directed
component.

No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached
high levels on 20-24 Apr and remained at normal background to
moderate levels for the remainder of the report reporting period.

Geomagnetic field activity reached G1 (Minor) storm levels on 20-21
Apr due to influence from a negative polarity CH HSS. Solar wind
speeds peaked around 550 km/s and total magnetic field strength
increased to a brief peak of 10 nT on 20 Apr. The Bz component
reached as far south as -8 nT during the HSS. Quiet to unsettled
conditions were observed over 22-25 Apr. A negative polarity coronal
hole, with possible weak embedded influence from a CME that left the
Sun on 24 Apr, caused isolated active levels on 26 Apr. Solar wind
speeds remained below 500 km/s with this coronal hole.

Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity
27 April - 23 May 2026

Solar activity is expected to reach moderate levels
(R1-R2/Minor-Moderate), with a slight chance for high (R3/Strong),
from 27 Apr - 04 May due to the flare potential from multiple active
regions on the solar disk. The remainder of the outlook period is
likely to be at low levels, with a slight chance for M-class
(R1-R2).

No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is
expected reach high levels on 12 Apr, 29 Apr - 05 May, 08-14 May,
and 17-21 May due to the anticipated influence from multiple,
recurrent, CH HSS. The remainder of the outlook period is likely to
be at normal to moderate levels.

Geomagnetic field activity is expected to reach G1 (Minor)
geomagnetic storm levels on 07 May and 15-16 May. Active conditions
are likely on 27 Apr, 30 Apr, 08 May, 17-18 May, and 23 May.
Unsettled conditions are likely on 29 Apr, 01 May, 03-04 May, 09
May, and 21-22 May. All enhancement in geomagnetic activity are due
to the anticipated influence of multiple, recurrent, CH HSSs. The
remainder of the outlook period is expected to be at mostly quiet
levels.
Space Weather Scales
About AIA Images
The Atmospheric Imaging Assembly (AIA) on the Solar Dynamics Observatory (SDO) is designed to provide an unprecedented view of the solar corona, taking images that span at least 1.3 solar diameters in multiple wavelengths nearly simultaneously, at a resolution of ~ 1 arcsec and at a cadence of 10 s or better. The primary goal of the AIA Science Investigation is to use these data, together with data from other SDO instruments and from other observatories, to significantly improve our understanding of the physics behind the activity displayed by the Sun's atmosphere, which drives space weather in the heliosphere and in planetary environments. The AIA will produce data required for quantitative studies of the evolving coronal magnetic field, and the plasma that it holds, both in quiescent phases and during flares and eruptions; the AIA science investigation aims to utilize these data in a comprehensive research program to provide new understanding of the observed processes
Left Click Image for screen size, Right Click Image and open in new tab for full size.
Daily Image AIA 171
Channel | Region of atmosphere | Primary ion(s)
171Ã… | quiet corona, upper transition region | Fe IX
Daily Image AIA 171 PFSS Model
Channel | Region of atmosphere | Primary ion(s)
171Ã… | quiet corona, upper transition region | Fe IX
Daily Image AIA 193
Channel | Region of atmosphere | Primary ion(s)
193Ã… | corona and hot flare plasma | Fe XII, XXIV
Daily Image AIA 304
Channel | Region of atmosphere | Primary ion(s)
304Ã… | chromosphere, transition region | He II
Daily Video AIA 171
Daily Video AIA 171 PFSS Model
Daily Video AIA 193
Daily Video AIA 304
About the HMI Images
(Helioseismic and Magnetic Imager)
HMI is an instrument designed to study oscillations and the magnetic field at the solar surface, or photosphere. HMI is one of three instruments on the Solar Dynamics Observatory; together, the suite of instruments observes the Sun nearly continuously and takes a terabyte of data a day. HMI observes the full solar disk at 6173 Ã… with a resolution of 1 arcsecond. HMI is a successor to the Michelson Doppler Imager on the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory. This is very much how the Sun looks like in the visible range of the spectrum (for example, looking at it using special 'eclipse' glasses: Remember, do not ever look directly at the Sun!). The magnetogram image shows the magnetic field in the solar photosphere, with black and white indicating opposite polarities.
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Daily Image HMI Continuum
Daily Image HMI Magnetogram
Daily Video HMI Continuum
Daily Video HMI Magnetogram
About LASCO Images
LASCO (Large Angle Spectrometric Coronagraph) is able to take images of the solar corona by blocking the light coming directly from the Sun with an occulter disk, creating an artificial eclipse within the instrument itself. The position of the solar disk is indicated in the images by the white circle. The most prominent feature of the corona are usually the coronal streamers, those nearly radial bands that can be seen both in C2 and C3. Occasionally, a coronal mass ejection can be seen being expelled away from the Sun and crossing the fields of view of both coronagraphs. The shadow crossing from the lower left corner to the center of the image is the support for the occulter disk.
C2 images show the inner solar corona up to 8.4 million kilometers (5.25 million miles) away from the Sun.
C3 images have a larger field of view: They encompass 32 diameters of the Sun. To put this in perspective, the diameter of the images is 45 million kilometers (about 30 million miles) at the distance of the Sun, or half of the diameter of the orbit of Mercury. Many bright stars can be seen behind the Sun.
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Combined C2 C3 and AIA 304
Log Polar View C2 C3 and AIA 304
Combined C2 C3 and AIA 304 Video
Log Polar View C2 C3 and AIA 304 Video
Space Weather Videos
Space Weather Information

Demystifying Space Weather

An article by Scientific Frontline
Informative information and glossary about “Space Weather”

Space weather has become increasingly important in our modern world due to our growing reliance on technology. It can impact various aspects of our daily lives, from communication and navigation systems to power grids and even astronaut safety. In this deep dive, we'll explore the intricacies of space weather, its causes, its effects, and why understanding it is crucial in our technology-dependent society.



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