. Scientific Frontline: Space Weather

Space Weather


Warnings and Alerts
No Current Warnings
Space Weather Scales
Current Condition and Alerts
Issued: 2026 May 25 1205 UTC
Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center

Geophysical Alert Message

Solar-terrestrial indices for 24 May follow.
Solar flux 133 and estimated planetary A-index 6.
The estimated planetary K-index at 1200 UTC on 25 May was 2.00.

No space weather storms were observed for the past 24 hours.

No space weather storms are predicted for the next 24 hours.
Space Weather Scales
Forecast Discussion
Issued: 2026 May 25 1230 UTC
Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center

Solar Activity

.24 hr Summary...
Solar activity remained at low levels. Region 4447 (S17E17, Dao/beta)
produced the strongest flare of the period, a C3.7/Sf at 25/0104 UTC.
The regions leader spot grew and consolidated some surrounding spots
over the past 24 hours. Region 4448 (S08E60, Cao/beta) was recently
numbered. Only minor changes were observed in the remaining active
regions.

No Earth-directed CMEs were observed in available coronagraph imagery.

.Forecast...
Solar activity is expected to remain at low levels, with a chance for
isolated M-class flares (R1-R2/Minor-Moderate) on 25-27 May, primarily
due to the flare potential Region 4446.

Energetic Particle

.24 hr Summary...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit remained at
moderate to high levels, reaching a peak level of 5,512 pfu at 24/1845
UTC. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux at geosynchronous orbit
remained at background levels.

.Forecast...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to remain at moderate
levels over 25-27 May. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux is expected
to remain at background levels through 27 May.

Solar Wind

.24 hr Summary...
Solar wind parameters remained indicative of near-background conditions.
Wind speeds ranged from 270-360 km/s. Total magnetic field strength
varied from 1-9 nT and Bz ranged between +/-6 nT. The phi angle
transitioned from negative to positive after 24/2320 UTC.

.Forecast...
Primarily ambient conditions are expected for 25 May under a continued
background solar wind regime. Late on 26 May and into 27 May,
enhancements to the solar wind environment are possible with the
anticipated onset of a negative polarity CH HSS.

Geospace

.24 hr Summary...
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels.

.Forecast...
Mostly quiet levels are anticipated on 25 May as a near-background
solar regime persists. Periods of unsettled conditions are possible,
with a chance for an isolated active periods, late on 26 May lasting
into 27 May, with the likely onset of an approaching -CH HSS.
Space Weather Scales
Three Day Forecast
Issued: 2026 May 25 1230 UTC
Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center

A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for May 25-May 27 2026 is 3.67 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown May 25-May 27 2026

May 25 May 26 May 27
00-03UT 2.67 1.33 2.67
03-06UT 1.67 2.00 3.67
06-09UT 1.67 2.33 3.00
09-12UT 2.00 2.00 2.67
12-15UT 1.67 2.00 2.33
15-18UT 1.33 2.00 2.00
18-21UT 1.67 2.00 2.33
21-00UT 1.33 3.00 2.67

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No
significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-19 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for May 25-May 27 2026

May 25 May 26 May 27
S1 or greater 5% 5% 5%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for May 25-May 27 2026

May 25 May 26 May 27
R1-R2 35% 35% 35%
R3 or greater 5% 5% 5%

Rationale: There exists a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio
blackouts over 25-27 May.
Space Weather Scales
Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
Issued: 2026 May 25 0601 UTC
Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center

Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity
18 - 24 May 2026

Solar activity ranged from low to moderate levels. The largest flare
was an M2.3 (R1-Minor) at 22/1029 UTC from Region 4436 (N18, L=333,
class/area Dai/200 on 13 May). The region was also responsible for a
C8.3 and C9.5 flares on 21/1814 UTC and 21/1825 UTC, respectively.
This region was responsible for the majority of the C-class activity
until its rotation off the W limb on 21 May. On 23-24 May, the
majority of the C-class activity occurred from Region 4446 (S13,
L=141, class/area Dko/280 on 24 May). No Earth-directed CMEs were
observed during the period.

No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached
high levels on 18-24 May due to CH HSS influences. The highest flux
observed was 6,667 pfu at 18/1435 UTC.

Geomagnetic field activity ranged from quiet to active levels. Solar
wind parameters began the period in a slow decline from 560 km/s as
negative polarity CH HSS effects gradually diminished. At 19/0630
UTC, a small shock was observed increasing total field to 7-8 nT
while solar wind speed increased to near 625 km/s before beginning
to decline once again. This was likely the glancing effects from a
CME that left the Sun on 16 May. Solar wind speed continued to
decrease to nominal levels through 22 May. The geomagnetic field
reacted with quiet to active levels on 19 May. Quiet to unsettled
levels were observed on 18 May and 20-22 May. Quiet conditions
occurred on 23-24 May.

Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity
25 May - 20 June 2026

Solar activity is expected to be at low to moderate levels (R1-R2,
Minor-Moderate) on 25 May through 07 Jun with the return of old
Region 4432 (N14, L=081). Mostly low levels with a chance for
M-class flares is expected from 08-20 Jun.

No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is
expected to reach high levels on 25-27 May and 12-20 Jun due to CH
HSS influences.

Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be at unsettled to active
levels on 27-29 May, 04 Jun, 09 Jun, and 11-15 Jun due to recurrent
CH HSS activity. G2 (Moderate) storm conditions are likely on 11 Jun
and G1 (Minor) storming on 12 Jun due to CIR/CH HSS onset.
Space Weather Scales
About AIA Images
The Atmospheric Imaging Assembly (AIA) on the Solar Dynamics Observatory (SDO) is designed to provide an unprecedented view of the solar corona, taking images that span at least 1.3 solar diameters in multiple wavelengths nearly simultaneously, at a resolution of ~ 1 arcsec and at a cadence of 10 s or better. The primary goal of the AIA Science Investigation is to use these data, together with data from other SDO instruments and from other observatories, to significantly improve our understanding of the physics behind the activity displayed by the Sun's atmosphere, which drives space weather in the heliosphere and in planetary environments. The AIA will produce data required for quantitative studies of the evolving coronal magnetic field, and the plasma that it holds, both in quiescent phases and during flares and eruptions; the AIA science investigation aims to utilize these data in a comprehensive research program to provide new understanding of the observed processes
Left Click Image for screen size, Right Click Image and open in new tab for full size.
Daily Image AIA 171
Channel | Region of atmosphere | Primary ion(s)
171Ã… | quiet corona, upper transition region | Fe IX
Daily Image AIA 171 PFSS Model
Channel | Region of atmosphere | Primary ion(s)
171Ã… | quiet corona, upper transition region | Fe IX
Daily Image AIA 193
Channel | Region of atmosphere | Primary ion(s)
193Ã… | corona and hot flare plasma | Fe XII, XXIV
Daily Image AIA 304
Channel | Region of atmosphere | Primary ion(s)
304Ã… | chromosphere, transition region | He II
Daily Video AIA 171
Daily Video AIA 171 PFSS Model
Daily Video AIA 193
Daily Video AIA 304
About the HMI Images
(Helioseismic and Magnetic Imager)
HMI is an instrument designed to study oscillations and the magnetic field at the solar surface, or photosphere. HMI is one of three instruments on the Solar Dynamics Observatory; together, the suite of instruments observes the Sun nearly continuously and takes a terabyte of data a day. HMI observes the full solar disk at 6173 Ã… with a resolution of 1 arcsecond. HMI is a successor to the Michelson Doppler Imager on the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory. This is very much how the Sun looks like in the visible range of the spectrum (for example, looking at it using special 'eclipse' glasses: Remember, do not ever look directly at the Sun!). The magnetogram image shows the magnetic field in the solar photosphere, with black and white indicating opposite polarities.
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Daily Image HMI Continuum
Daily Image HMI Magnetogram
Daily Video HMI Continuum
Daily Video HMI Magnetogram
About LASCO Images
LASCO (Large Angle Spectrometric Coronagraph) is able to take images of the solar corona by blocking the light coming directly from the Sun with an occulter disk, creating an artificial eclipse within the instrument itself. The position of the solar disk is indicated in the images by the white circle. The most prominent feature of the corona are usually the coronal streamers, those nearly radial bands that can be seen both in C2 and C3. Occasionally, a coronal mass ejection can be seen being expelled away from the Sun and crossing the fields of view of both coronagraphs. The shadow crossing from the lower left corner to the center of the image is the support for the occulter disk.
C2 images show the inner solar corona up to 8.4 million kilometers (5.25 million miles) away from the Sun.
C3 images have a larger field of view: They encompass 32 diameters of the Sun. To put this in perspective, the diameter of the images is 45 million kilometers (about 30 million miles) at the distance of the Sun, or half of the diameter of the orbit of Mercury. Many bright stars can be seen behind the Sun.
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Combined C2 C3 and AIA 304
Log Polar View C2 C3 and AIA 304
Combined C2 C3 and AIA 304 Video
Log Polar View C2 C3 and AIA 304 Video
Space Weather Videos
Space Weather Information

Demystifying Space Weather

An article by Scientific Frontline
Informative information and glossary about “Space Weather”

Space weather has become increasingly important in our modern world due to our growing reliance on technology. It can impact various aspects of our daily lives, from communication and navigation systems to power grids and even astronaut safety. In this deep dive, we'll explore the intricacies of space weather, its causes, its effects, and why understanding it is crucial in our technology-dependent society.



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