
Climatic and sociocultural changes may have contributed significantly to the demise of the Tang dynasty by weakening border defenses.
Image Credit: Scientific Frontline
Scientific Frontline: "At a Glance" Summary
- Main Discovery: Hydroclimatic instability, characterized by extreme droughts and floods between 800 and 907 CE, functioned as a critical driver in the socio-political collapse of the Tang Dynasty.
- Methodology: Researchers reconstructed historical runoff behavior in the Yellow River basin by analyzing long-term tree-ring data archives to model local hydroclimatic trends during the 9th century.
- Specific Mechanism: Vulnerability to climate extremes was exacerbated by an agricultural shift from drought-resistant millet to water-intensive wheat and rice, resulting in uncompensated crop failures during dry periods.
- Systemic Consequences: Compounded by collapsed supply corridors, widespread malnutrition weakened northern border defenses and precipitated mass migration southward, destabilizing the empire's political structure.
- Significance: The study establishes a historical precedent for how environmental stressors, when intersecting with specific socio-cultural choices, can trigger irreversible tipping points in complex societal systems.
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