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| Credit: Oleksandr Sushko |
Many regions of the world will enter nearly permanent drought or pluvial (wet) conditions in the coming decades, according to researchers from half a dozen institutions, including the University of Hawaiʻi at Mānoa, who investigated what the future might hold in terms of rainfall and soil moisture. The findings, published in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, reveal the importance of rethinking how these events are classified as well as how communities adapt to a changing environment.
In some areas of the western United States, for instance, conditions have blown past severe and extreme drought into exceptional drought. But rather than add more superlatives to the descriptions, it could be time to reconsider the very definition of drought.
“When we talk about being in a drought, the presumption is that eventually the drought will end, and conditions will return to normal,” said Samantha Stevenson, lead author of the study, assistant professor at the University of California, Santa Barbara and former postdoctoral fellow at UH Mānoa’s School of Ocean and Earth Science and Technology (SOEST). “But if we’re never returning to normal, then we need to adapt all of the ways that we manage water with the expectation that normal will continually be drier and drier every year.”








