Climate change affects greenhouse gas emissions from stream networks

Photo Credit: Mitchell Kmetz

Natural greenhouse gas emissions from streams and lakes are strongly linked to water discharge and temperature according to a new study led by Linköping University, Sweden. This knowledge is necessary to assess how man-made climate change is altering greenhouse emissions from natural landscapes and has large implications for climate change mitigation measures.

“The study is a big step forward towards increased understanding of the greenhouse gas fluxes in stream networks, providing potential to predict future fluxes", says David Bastviken, professor at Thematic Studies Environmental Change. Charlotte Perhammar

“The use of agriculture and forestry as carbon sinks is debated at the moment and the question is how effective such carbon sinks are for mitigating climate change. Our new study shows that with increased precipitation, a larger amount of carbon may be washed into streams and lakes and an increased share of this carbon also ends up in the atmosphere. Hence, landscape carbon sinks may become less effective in the future,” says David Bastviken, professor at the Department of Thematic Studies Environmental Change at Linköping University.

Why natural gas is not a bridge technology

The expansion of the natural gas infrastructure poses a risk to the energy transition, since natural gas is not a bridge technology towards a 100 percent renewable energy system within the meaning of the Paris climate agreement. This is the result of a study by an interdisciplinary German research team. July 2022 in the journal Nature Energy. The researchers examine the natural gas question from five perspectives and provide the gas with a similarly poor climate balance sheet as coal or oil. They recommend politics and science to revise the current assumptions about natural gas.

The study was led by Prof. Dr. Claudia Kemfert from the German Institute for Economic Research (DIW) and the Leuphana University of Lüneburg in collaboration with Franziska Hoffart from the Ruhr University Bochum, Fabian Präger from the Technical University of Berlin and Isabell Braunger and Hanna Brauers from the European University Flensburg.

Energy crisis is only one side of the problem

In the wake of the Russian war of aggression, the government in Germany faces the challenge of reducing Russia's energy dependency and continuing to ensure an affordable and secure energy supply that is in line with climate targets. Efforts are currently underway to balance Russian natural gas, the delivery of which is throttled and unsafe, by building new gas trading relationships and new infrastructure. Claudia Kemfert, head of the study, explains: “Fossil natural gas is neither clean nor safe. The too long adherence to fossil natural gas has led Germany into an energy crisis, from which now only decisive action for consistent decarbonization can lead to a full supply of renewable energies”.

What Is: A Greenhouse Gas

Image Credit: Skeptical Science
(CC BY 4.0)

A greenhouse gas (GHG) is a constituent of the atmosphere that absorbs and emits longwave radiation, impeding the flow of heat from the Earth's surface into space. This process is the physical basis of the greenhouse effect, formally defined as "the infrared radiative effect of all infrared absorbing constituents in the atmosphere," which includes greenhouse gases, clouds, and some aerosols.

It is essential to distinguish between two distinct phenomena:

The Natural Greenhouse Effect: This is the baseline, life-sustaining process. Greenhouse gases, particularly water vapor and carbon dioxide, are a crucial component of the climate system. Without this natural insulating layer, the heat emitted by the Earth would "simply pass outwards... into space," and the planet's average temperature would be an uninhabitable -20°C.

The Enhanced Greenhouse Effect: This refers to the anthropogenic, or human-caused, intensification of the natural effect. The accumulation of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere, primarily from the burning of fossil fuels and other industrial and agricultural activities, is trapping additional heat, driving the rapid warming of the planet's surface and lower atmosphere.

The term "greenhouse" is a persistent and somewhat misleading analogy. A physical greenhouse primarily works by a mechanical process: its glass walls stop convection, preventing the warm air inside from rising and mixing with the colder air outside. The Earth's greenhouse effect is not a physical barrier; it is a radiative one. Greenhouse gases do not trap air. Instead, they absorb outgoing thermal radiation and re-radiate a portion of it back toward the surface, slowing the planet's ability to cool itself. This radiative mechanism, not a convective one, is how a relatively tiny fraction of the atmosphere can have a planet-altering effect.

Non-producing oil and gas wells emit microbial methane at rates 1,000 times higher than previously estimated

Mary Kang and Gianni V. R. Micucci
Photo Credit: Mary Kang

Scientific Frontline: Extended "At a Glance" Summary: Microbial Methane Emissions from Non-Producing Wells

The Core Concept: Non-producing oil and gas wells emit microbial methane—a potent greenhouse gas—at rates approximately 1,000 times higher than previously estimated, acting as a continued source of atmospheric emissions long after a well has ceased production.

Key Distinction/Mechanism: While traditional models assume most methane leaks derive from deep, high-temperature "thermogenic" sources (where ancient organic matter is "cooked"), this research reveals a drastically underestimated contribution from "microbial" methane originating in shallower subsurface formations. Non-producing well structures can inadvertently serve as migration pathways, allowing this shallow microbial methane to escape into the atmosphere.

Major Frameworks/Components: 

• Isotopic Signature Analysis: Utilization of stable isotopic signatures and gas composition analysis to accurately trace the origin (microbial vs. thermogenic) of leaking methane.
• Subsurface Migration Pathways: The theoretical framework investigating how multiple gas-bearing formations interact with inactive well infrastructure to route shallow gases to the surface.
• Emission Asymmetry: The statistical observation that a small minority of wells (the top 12 percent) are responsible for the vast majority (98 percent) of the total methane emissions from these sources.

Tropical rivers emit less greenhouse gases than previously thought

Lowland tropical rivers emit large quantities of greenhouse gases, with rates influenced by seasonal flooding.
Photo Credit: Jenny Davis

Tropical inland waters don’t produce as many greenhouse gas emissions as previously estimated, according to the results of an international study, led by Charles Darwin University and involving researchers from Umeå University.

The study, published in Nature Water, aimed to better understand greenhouse gas emissions in tropical rivers, lakes and reservoirs by collating the growing amount of observations from across the world’s tropics – including many systems that were previously less represented in global datasets.

Researchers from Umeå University played a key role in the work, estimating the surface area of rivers and contributing to the data analysis that underpins the study’s findings.

Study finds large new source of greenhouse gas emissions

An international team has discovered hundreds of large bursts of methane from oil and gas production activities across the globe. The bursts account for 10% of global oil and gas methane emissions and are missing from most greenhouse gas emissions inventories.

Carbon Mapper, a nonprofit organization that partners with the University of Arizona to mitigate methane and carbon emissions and accelerate climate conservation, contributed to the study, which is published in the journal Science.

The team performed a systematic analysis of thousands of images produced daily by the European Space Agency satellite mission Sentinel-5P to estimate the amount of methane released into the atmosphere by oil and gas production activities.

Over a two-year period, they detected 1,200 "ultra-emitters" attributed to oil and gas facilities and long major transmission pipelines that sporadically release greater than 25 tons of methane per hour over most of the largest oil and gas basins worldwide.

Together, these facilities represent more than 50% of the total onshore natural gas production. Most of these ultra-emitters were short-lived, and many are likely due to planned maintenance activities.

The study revealed that in total, these unreported ultra-emitters contribute to approximately 10% of all methane emissions from the oil and gas sector across the six major oil and gas producing countries – an incredibly large contribution for such a limited number of events.

Greenhouse gas emissions in Global South countries linked with IMF lending policies

New research by sociology professor Matthew Soener links loans from the International Monetary Fund to increased greenhouse gas emissions in Global South countries within several years. 
Photo Credit: Fred Zwicky

Greenhouse gas emissions significantly increase in countries in the Global South within a few years after initially borrowing from the International Monetary Fund using structural loans, but not when more flexible lending conditions are involved. 

However, with countries’ second or subsequent IMF loans, their emissions spike almost immediately, regardless of the lending conditions involved, a recent study suggests.

Structural loans, one of IMF’s two primary lending instruments, specify the precise changes borrowers are required to make to obtain the funds. By contrast, quantitative loans require that borrowers achieve quantifiable benchmarks – such as reducing their deficit by 5%, for example – but give them autonomy in deciding how they accomplish it, said study author Matthew Soener, a professor of sociology at the University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign.

Structural conditions impose coercive market constraints, reforms that pressure borrowers to increase their exports, indirectly raising countries’ greenhouse gas emissions through greater agricultural or manufacturing activities, Soener said.

“As a way to maintain growth and repay that loan, countries might decide, ‘Well, we can export more bananas, forest products or other agricultural products’ – or whatever specialty they might have,” he said. “In doing that, the country might be solving one problem, but they are causing another by increasing their greenhouse gas emissions.” 

Restored Wetlands & Methane Emissions

Photo Credit: Luke Hodde

Scientific Frontline: Extended "At a Glance" Summary: Restored Wetlands and Greenhouse Gas Dynamics

The Core Concept: Restored human-made wetlands, though typically championed for their ecological benefits and carbon storage, can act as significant sources of methane, a potent greenhouse gas that complicates their role as definitive climate change solutions.

Key Distinction/Mechanism: Unlike natural tidal or flowing aquatic systems, many restored marshes operate as closed impoundments fed primarily by precipitation. This lack of water flow creates low-oxygen environments that heavily favor methane production in the underlying sediment.

Origin/History: A recent study by McGill University researchers, published in the Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences, analyzed freshwater marshes along the Bay of Fundy. These areas were originally tidal salt marshes, drained by early settlers centuries ago for agriculture, and subsequently reflooded to support waterfowl.

Major Frameworks/Components:

• Researchers focused on the open-water sections of the impoundments, utilizing inflatable kayaks, water samples, and specialized "bubble traps" to capture gases rising directly from the sediment.
• Data demonstrated that these artificial enclosures exhibit higher greenhouse gas emissions compared to baseline natural lakes and ponds.
• The study emphasizes the necessity of holistic ecosystem modeling, noting that sediment methane release is only one component of the wetlands' overall carbon budget, which also includes beneficial carbon sequestration in local plant life.

Methane’s missing emissions: The underestimated impact of small sources

Assessing methane emissions from various sources in urban areas
Equipment installed on a high-altitude tower and collecting information from the ground level using bikes accurately captured methane and ethane emissions in Osaka city.   
Image Credit: Osaka Metropolitan University

Scientific Frontline: Extended "At a Glance" Summary: Unaccounted Urban Methane Emissions

The Core Concept: Real-world, continuous environmental monitoring indicates that numerous small, localized sources—such as commercial facilities, private residences, and sewage infrastructure—contribute significantly more to urban methane emissions than is currently accounted for in official government inventories.

Key Distinction/Mechanism: Unlike traditional environmental monitoring that relies on sporadic spot checks and broad estimations, this approach utilizes continuous, integrated flux measurements. By tracking both methane and ethane simultaneously from high-altitude towers and ground-level mobile units, researchers can actively isolate human-driven fossil fuel leaks (often accompanied by ethane) from biogenic methane production.

Major Frameworks/Components:

• Eddy Covariance Method: A micrometeorological technique used to continuously measure and calculate vertical turbulent fluxes within atmospheric boundary layers.
• Multi-Elevation Monitoring: The deployment of atmospheric sensors on both high-altitude towers and ground-level tracking vehicles (bicycles) to capture a comprehensive, three-dimensional emission profile.
• Ethane Tracing: The simultaneous measurement of ethane (\(C_2H_6\)) alongside methane to accurately differentiate anthropogenic natural gas leaks from natural or biogenic biological processes.
• Temporal Pattern Analysis: The evaluation of weekday versus weekend outputs and diurnal (day-night) cycles to attribute emissions directly to human urban activity.

Methane from manholes and historic landfills: significant sources of gas go unrecognized

Montreal’s municipal greenhouse gas inventory presents an incomplete picture of methane emissions
Photo Credit: Mohammad Rezaie

Cities are responsible for almost 1/5th of the global methane emissions caused by human activities. But most cities don’t capture information about the full range of sources of this powerful greenhouse gas. In 2020, a team led by McGill University, measured methane emissions from various sources across the city of Montreal. The researchers found that two of the four most important sources of methane emissions in the city (historic landfills and manholes) are not included in the city’s municipal greenhouse gas inventories, making it difficult to tackle the problem fully, or reach the city’s goal of being carbon neutral by 2050.

The study provides the first set of direct measurements of methane emissions in Montreal and in the province of Quebec.

The study provides detailed and specific measurements of methane emissions by source – such as the type of manhole or the type of natural gas infrastructure. The results, which highlight the importance of gathering information about the specific sources of methane emissions to set in place mitigation strategies that are adapted to each specific situation should be of interest not only to researchers across Canada and around the world but also to policy makers.

Air Pollution Hides Increases in Rainfall

Humans have an impact on rainfall through both air pollution and greenhouse gas emissions.
Photo Credit: Patrick Hendry

We know that greenhouse gas emissions like carbon dioxide should increase rainfall. The emissions heat the atmosphere, causing a one-two punch: warmer oceans make it easier for water to evaporate, and warmer air can hold more water vapor, meaning more moisture is available to fall as rain. But for much of the 20th century, that increase in precipitation didn’t clearly show up in the data.

A new study led by researchers at the Department of Energy’s Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (Berkeley Lab) finds that the expected increase in rain has been largely offset by the drying effect of aerosols – emissions like sulfur dioxide that are produced by burning fossil fuels, and commonly thought of as air pollution or smog. The research is published today in the journal Nature Communications.

“This is the first time that we can really understand what’s causing extreme rainfall to change within the continental U.S.,” said Mark Risser, a research scientist at Berkeley Lab and one of the lead authors for the study. He noted that until the 1970s, the expected increases to extreme rainfall were offset by aerosols. But the Clean Air Act caused a drastic reduction in air pollution in the United States. “The aerosol masking was turned off quite suddenly. That means rainfall might ramp up much more quickly than we would have otherwise predicted.”

Drivers of Ocean Temperature Changes

From left, Assistant Professor Michael Diamond and graduate student alumnus Anthony Freveletti. Photo Credits: Diamond photo by Devin Bittner/FSU College of Arts. Freveletti by Sydney Tapscott

Scientific Frontline: Extended "At a Glance" Summary: Ocean Temperature Drivers

The Core Concept: Long-term sea-surface temperature changes in the Atlantic Ocean are primarily driven by human emissions, whereas temperature shifts in the Pacific Ocean are largely governed by natural, internal ocean variability.

Key Distinction/Mechanism: Contrary to older models that attributed Atlantic temperature shifts to natural currents like the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC), advanced statistical analysis separates slow-evolving anthropogenic changes from fast-evolving natural fluctuations. This reveals that Atlantic variations are essentially a complex interplay of greenhouse gas warming and aerosol cooling.

Major Frameworks/Components:

• Rotated Low-Frequency Component Analysis (RLFCA): A statistical methodology adapted to extract, identify, and reorganize patterns of temperature change based on their evolutionary speed and known external influences.
• Anthropogenic Forcing: The accumulation of human-produced greenhouse gas emissions and air pollution (aerosols) that collectively act as the primary driver of historical and future Atlantic temperatures.
• Pacific Decadal Oscillation: A long-term natural climate pattern in the Pacific Ocean that fluctuates every 20 to 30 years, serving as the primary unforced driver for regional sea-surface temperatures.

Rivers as an Underestimated Source of Greenhouse Gases

Arable farming and pastures along a river in Kenya. A higher influx of nutrients into rivers worldwide promotes the accumulation of greenhouse gases.
Photo Credit: Ricky Mwanake, KIT

Scientific Frontline: Extended "At a Glance" Summary: Riverine Greenhouse Gas Emissions

The Core Concept Rivers worldwide are progressively warming and losing oxygen, a transformation that turns them into significant, under-accounted sources of greenhouse gases (GHGs). The influx of agricultural and urban nutrients, combined with rising temperatures, fuels microbial activity that releases carbon dioxide, methane, and nitrous oxide into the atmosphere.

Key Distinction/Mechanism: Unlike the oxygen depletion observed in oceans or static lakes, the oxygen concentration in rivers is dropping at a significantly faster rate (an average of 0.058 milligrams per liter per decade). When human-driven land use introduces excess organic carbon and nutrients into these warming, oxygen-depleted waters, it hyper-accelerates biogeochemical microbial processes that convert these inputs into atmospheric greenhouse gases.

Major Frameworks/Components:

• Machine Learning Integration: The methodology combined direct water parameter measurements from over 1,000 river sites with global satellite data (monitoring vegetation, radiation, and topography) to predict and map GHG saturation across more than 5,000 unmonitored river basins.
• Microbial Biogeochemistry: The core biological engine where microbes break down agricultural runoff and wastewater, transforming stable organic matter into active climate-warming gases.
• Synergistic Anthropogenic Drivers: The framework establishing that climate-driven warming and localized land-use expansion (farming and urbanization) do not operate in isolation but compound one another to create distinct emission "hotspots."

Biodegradable medical gowns may add to greenhouse gas

Photo Credit: National Cancer Institute

The use of disposable plasticized medical gowns – both conventional and biodegradable – has surged since the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic. Landfills now brim with them.

Because the biodegradable version decomposes faster than conventional gowns, popular wisdom held that it offers a greener option by less space use and chronic emissions in landfills.

That wisdom may be wrong.

Biodegradable medical gowns actually introduce harsh greenhouse gas discharge problems, according to new research published Dec. 20 in the Journal of Cleaner Production.

“There’s no magic bullet to this problem,” said Fengqi You, the Roxanne E. and Michael J. Zak Professor in Energy Systems Engineering, in the Smith School of Chemical and Biomolecular Engineering.

“Plasticized conventional medical gowns take many years to break down and the biodegradable gowns degrade much faster, but they produce gas emissions faster like added methane and carbon dioxide than regular ones in a landfill,” said You, who is a senior faculty fellow in the Cornell Atkinson Center for Sustainability. “Maybe the conventional gowns is not so bad.”

Unexpectedly high emissions from wastewater treatment plants

With a custom built drone, researchers at LiU have shown that greenhouse gas emissions from many wastewater treatment plants may be more than twice as large as previously thought.
Photo Credit: Magnus Gålfalk

Greenhouse gas emissions from many wastewater treatment plants may be more than twice as large as previously thought. This is shown in a new study from Linköping University, where the researchers used drones with specially manufactured sensors to measure methane and nitrous oxide emissions.

“We show that certain greenhouse gas emissions from wastewater treatment plants have been unknown. Now that we know more about these emissions, we also know more about how they can be reduced,” says Magnus Gålfalk, docent at Tema M – Environmental Change at Linköping University, who led the study published in the journal Environmental Science & Technology.

Wastewater treatment plants receiving sewage from households and industries account for approximately 5 per cent of human-induced methane and nitrous oxide emissions, according to the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, IPCC.

To calculate this, the IPCC uses so-called emission factors that are linked to how many households are connected to the treatment plant. The calculation model then yields a number for the emissions from each wastewater treatment plant. This number is an estimate and not the result of actual measurements, which has turned out to be problematic.

Unchecked global emissions on track to initiate mass extinction of marine life

Princeton University researchers report that unless greenhouse gas emissions are curbed, marine biodiversity could be on track to plummet to levels not seen since the extinction of the dinosaurs. The study authors modeled future marine biodiversity under projected climate scenarios and found that species such as dolphinfish (shown) would be imperiled as warming oceans decrease the ocean’s oxygen supply while increasing marine life’s metabolic demand for it. 
Credit: Evan Davis

As greenhouse gas emissions continue to warm the world’s oceans, marine biodiversity could be on track to plummet within the next few centuries to levels not seen since the extinction of the dinosaurs, according to a recent study in the journal Science by Princeton University researchers.

Princeton University researchers report that unless greenhouse gas emissions are curbed, marine biodiversity could be on track to plummet to levels not seen since the extinction of the dinosaurs. The study authors modeled future marine biodiversity under projected climate scenarios and found that species such as dolphinfish (shown) would be imperiled as warming oceans decrease the ocean’s oxygen supply while increasing marine life’s metabolic demand for it.

The paper’s authors modeled future marine biodiversity under different projected climate scenarios. They found that if emissions are not curbed, species losses from warming and oxygen depletion alone could come to mirror the substantial impact humans already have on marine biodiversity by around 2100. Tropical waters would experience the greatest loss of biodiversity, while polar species are at the highest risk of extinction, the authors reported.

Hidden ocean feedback loop could accelerate climate change

METHANE IN MOTION: Warming surface waters and reduced mixing in the ocean can limit nutrients like phosphate, creating conditions that allow methane-producing microbes to thrive. According to URochester scientists, this could potentially create an alarming feedback loop for global warming.
Photo Credit: Brice Cooper

Scientific Frontline: Extended "At a Glance" Summary: Hidden Ocean Feedback Loop and Methane Emissions

The Core Concept: Warming ocean waters reduce vertical mixing, leading to surface-level phosphate scarcity that causes specific marine microbes to produce methane, thereby creating a dangerous climate feedback loop.

Key Distinction/Mechanism: Methane production is traditionally associated with oxygen-free environments like deep sediments or wetlands. However, this research demonstrates that certain bacteria in oxygen-rich open ocean waters produce methane as a byproduct of breaking down organic compounds, specifically triggered when the nutrient phosphate is scarce.

Major Frameworks/Components:

• Phosphate Control Mechanism: Phosphate scarcity acts as the primary regulating factor for methane production and atmospheric emissions in the open ocean.
• Thermal Stratification: Top-down ocean warming increases the density difference between surface and deep waters.
• Reduced Vertical Mixing: Stratification slows the natural vertical mixing required to carry essential nutrients, such as phosphate, from the deep ocean to the surface.
• Microbial Methane Byproduct: Nutrient-starved surface waters create ideal conditions for specific bacteria to thrive and release methane while breaking down organic matter.

Greenhouse gas emissions at ‘an all-time high’, warn scientists

Photo Credit: Chris LeBoutillier

Human-caused global warming has continued to increase at an “unprecedented rate” since the last major assessment of the climate system published two years ago, say 50 leading scientists.

The research, published in the journal Earth System Science Data, found that human-induced warming averaged 1.14°C over the last decade and a record level of greenhouse gases is being emitted each year, equivalent to 54 billion tons of carbon dioxide. The remaining carbon budget - how much carbon dioxide can be emitted to have a better than 50% chance of holding global warming to 1.5°C - has halved over three years  

One of the researchers said the study was a “timely wake-up call” that the pace and scale of climate action has been insufficient, and it comes as climate experts meet in Bonn to prepare the ground for the major COP28 climate conference in the UAE in December, which will include a stock take of progress towards keeping global warming to 1.5°C by 2050.   

Given the speed at which the global climate system is changing, the scientists argue that policymakers, climate negotiators and civil society groups need to have access to up-to-date and robust scientific evidence on which to base decisions.

Wetlands do not need to be flooded to provide the greatest climate benefit

New knowledge is based on measurements and modeling in Maglemosen, a wetland located 20 kilometers north of Copenhagen, which has been undisturbed for more than 100 years and in many ways represents a typical Danish wetland with peat soils.
Photo Credit: Bo Elberling

Scientific Frontline: "At a Glance" Summary

• Main Discovery: Wetlands provide the greatest climate mitigation when water tables are maintained 5 to 20 centimeters below the surface, rather than being completely flooded, as this depth balances carbon retention with minimized methane production.
• Methodology: Researchers analyzed 16 years of continuous data (2007–2023) from the Maglemosen wetland in Denmark, combining field measurements of greenhouse gas emissions, water levels, and temperature with predictive modeling to identify the hydrological "sweet spot."
• Key Data: The study identified an optimal water depth of approximately 10 centimeters below ground; this is critical because methane is up to 30 times more potent than \(\mathrm{CO_2}\), and complete submersion inhibits the soil microbes responsible for neutralizing it.
• Significance: These findings contradict current restoration strategies, such as Denmark's plan to flood 140,000 hectares, showing that "flood and forget" approaches create oxygen-deprived soil conditions that significantly spike harmful methane emissions.
• Future Application: Restoration projects must shift from passive flooding to active water management, employing engineering solutions like green energy-powered pumps to maintain stable water tables, similar to Dutch infrastructure models.
• Branch of Science: Geosciences and Environmental Science.
• Additional Detail: Maintaining a stable water level is essential to prevent the release of nitrous oxide, a greenhouse gas 300 times more powerful than \(\mathrm{CO_2}\), which can occur if water tables fluctuate unpredictably.

The inequalities of low-carbon electricity

UNIGE researchers evaluated the consequences of 248 decarbonization scenarios on 296 European regions.
Photo Credit: Rob Martin

Greenhouse gas reduction, new jobs, new investment opportunities: the benefits of decarbonizing the electricity sector - one of the most polluting - are obvious. However, a transition to lower-carbon electricity production could have a negative impact on some regions, depending on their vulnerabilities and their capacity to adapt, while it could have a positive impact on others. A team from the University of Geneva (UNIGE) has precisely mapped the socio-economic consequences of electricity decarbonization for 296 regions in Europe by 2050. It shows that the southern and south-eastern regions of the continent could be the most vulnerable. These results can be found in Nature Communications.

The electricity consumed in Europe is largely produced by highly polluting fossil fuel power plants (coal, gas). This sector alone is responsible for a quarter of the continent’s greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. Decarbonizing electricity has therefore become a priority. It is also a prerequisite for the decarbonization of other sectors that need to be electrified, such as heating and transport.

The benefits of such a transition are obvious (reduced air pollution, new employment opportunities). However, the process could also maintain or lead to some new inequalities between regions. For example, an area with a coal-fired power plant will lose many jobs and tax revenues if the plant closes. It will be doubly penalized if there is little land available to build new renewable energy plants.