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| A new study assesses decades of U.S. forest health data, revealing a twist in Western U.S. forest fate amid climate change — higher ecosystem resilience is linked with higher mortality risk Photo Credit: Sarah Ardin |
A forest’s resilience, or ability to absorb environmental disturbances, has long been thought to be a boost for its odds of survival against the looming threat of climate change.
But a new study suggests that for some Western U.S. forests, it’s quite the opposite.
In the journal Global Change Biology, researchers have published one of the first large-scale studies of U.S. forest land exploring the link between forest resilience and mortality.
The study is based on more than three decades of satellite image data used for assessing forest resilience, and more than two decades of ground observations of forest tree death across the continental United States.
The results show that while high ecosystem resilience correlates with low mortality in eastern forests, it is linked to high mortality in western regions.
“It’s a surprising finding. … It was widely assumed that greater forest resilience indicates lower mortality risk, but this relationship hadn’t been rigorously evaluated at such a large scale until now,” said Xiaonan Tai, assistant professor of biology at New Jersey Institute of Technology and the corresponding author.
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