
Archaeobotanist Amaia Arranz-Otaegui, co-author of the study, samples wild plants near Ma'in in Jordan.
Photo Credit: Joe Roe
Scientific Frontline: "At a Glance" Summary
- Main Discovery: Ancestors of key crops like wheat, barley, and rye were significantly less widespread in the Middle East 12,000 years ago than previously believed, surviving primarily in a "refugium" along the Mediterranean coast of the Levant.
- Methodology: Researchers combined large open datasets on modern plant distribution with machine learning and "backward-turned" IPCC climate simulations to reconstruct ancient ecological niches and plant suitability.
- Key Data: The study modeled the geographic ranges of 65 wild plant species associated with early farming during the Terminal Pleistocene and Early Holocene (approximately 14,700 to 8,300 years ago).
- Significance: This challenges traditional theories that wild crops expanded with warmer post-Ice Age climates, instead suggesting these species were well-adapted to cold, dry conditions before human domestication.
- Future Application: The modeling approach establishes a new, bias-free method for reconstructing past ecosystems and the origins of agriculture, independent of the preservation limitations inherent in archaeological records.
- Branch of Science: Archaeology, Archaeobotany, and Paleoclimatology.
- Additional Detail: Published in Open Quaternary, the findings indicate that the "Fertile Crescent" progenitors were historically concentrated in much more specific, climatically stable zones than previously mapped.
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