. Scientific Frontline: Large forest fire emissions are hidden underground

Monday, March 2, 2026

Large forest fire emissions are hidden underground

 

Photo Credit: Johan A. Eckdahl

Scientific Frontline: Extended "At a Glance" Summary
: Underground Forest Fire Emissions

The Core Concept: The majority of carbon emissions from boreal forest fires originate beneath the ground surface, where deep organic soils and peatlands silently smolder. These underground fires release substantially more carbon than the highly visible, high-intensity flames occurring above ground.

Key Distinction/Mechanism: Traditional fire tracking relies on satellite imagery to measure burning areas, smoke density, and visible fire intensity, a method that overestimates above-ground emissions while entirely missing subterranean combustion. In contrast, underground fires burn through carbon-dense peat that has accumulated over millennia, drying out and continuing to smolder to release massive amounts of carbon long after surface fires are extinguished.

Origin/History: The significance of subterranean emissions was detailed by researchers at Lund University, who analyzed the 324 forest fires that occurred in Sweden during the extremely hot summer of 2018. Their study, published in Science Advances, revealed that the 2014 forest fire in Sala, Sweden, released roughly as much carbon as all 324 of the 2018 fires combined due to the deep peat combustion involved.

Major Frameworks/Components

  • High-Resolution Emission Mapping: Utilizing field measurements, atmospheric models, and governmental data to accurately chart carbon release locations and triggers.
  • Peat and Organic Soil Analysis: Evaluating the carbon density, combustion duration, and ignition dynamics of deep subterranean organic layers in boreal forests.
  • Database Reassessment: Identifying and correcting traditional fire databases, which currently underestimate deep soil emissions by as much as 50 percent.

Branch of Science: Earth and Environmental Sciences, Climatology, and Forestry.

Future Application: These findings will be used to calibrate satellite tracking systems and global climate models, improve early firefighting containment strategies, and modify land use practices—specifically addressing recently clear-felled areas that can act as pathways for fires to spread into carbon-rich wetlands.

Why It Matters: Boreal forests store more carbon in their soils than is currently present in the entire Earth's atmosphere. Accurately measuring underground fire emissions is critical for calculating global carbon budgets and understanding the true climate impact of extreme fire events globally, including those in North America and Siberia.

Researchers at Lund University have produced the most detailed map of carbon emissions from Swedish forest fires to date. The results show that the largest emissions occur below the ground surface, in peat and organic soils. 

During the extremely hot summer of 2018, 324 forest fires were reported in Sweden. Using field measurements, models, and data from the Swedish Forest Agency, the Swedish Environmental Protection Agency, and the Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute, researchers have now mapped where and why the carbon was released. 

The study shows that emissions from intense above‑ground fires are overestimated in fire databases. Emissions from deep organic soils and peatlands, on the other hand, are underestimated - during the summer of 2018 by as much as 50 percent. These smoldering underground fires are rarely visible in satellite images but can release very large amounts of carbon. 

“What looks dramatic from above is not always what affects the climate the most. The significantly large emissions actually occur silently underground,” says Johan A. Eckdahl, forest fire researcher at Lund University and the University of California, Berkeley. 

In boreal forests - the coniferous forest region that stretches around the Northern Hemisphere - more carbon is stored than exists in the atmosphere today. A large portion is found in deep peat soils that have been built over thousands of years. When these soils dry out and ignite, they can continue to burn below the surface for long periods. This means that traditional methods used in today’s fire databases, which rely on the size of the burning area, smoke density, and visible fire intensity, risk missing a crucial part of forest fires’ climate impact. 

A telling example is the comparison between the 2018 year of fires and the 2014 forest fire in Sala, Sweden. Despite the total burned area being much larger in 2018, the results show that the Sala fire alone released roughly as much carbon as all 324 fires in 2018 combined. 

“What matters is where it burns. A fire in deep peat soils can have a greater climate impact than hundreds of more intense fires on land with thin soil layers,” says Johan A. Eckdahl. 

The study also provides new perspectives on forestry and land use. The high‑resolution maps show certain patterns suggesting that recently clear‑felled areas could serve as pathways for fire to spread into older, carbon‑rich forests and wetlands. The researchers also conclude that population density plays an important role in enabling early containment of high‑intensity fires. There were also some indications that early firefighting efforts and active forest management can reduce fire damage. 

The researchers believe that the findings have relevance far beyond Sweden’s borders. If emissions have been underestimated during a Swedish year of fires of the scale seen in 2018, it raises the question of how large emissions may have been during recent extreme fires in North America and Siberia in 2021. In the latter case, adequate baseline data is lacking, making it difficult to calibrate satellites and models. 

Published in journal: Science Advances

TitleReassessing boreal wildfire drivers enables high-resolution mapping of emissions for climate adaptation

Authors: Johan A. Eckdahl, Lars Nieradzik, and Louise Rütting

Source/CreditLund University | Johan Joelsson

Reference Number: es030226_01

Privacy Policy | Terms of Service | Contact Us

Featured Article

Quantum computers go high-dimensional

Marcus Huber (left) and Nicolai Friis Photo Credit: © Alexander Rommel / TU Wien Scientific Frontline: Extended "At a Glance" Summ...

Top Viewed Articles